Ling Zhi Lun Jin11.3恒指、黄金、原油周评分析及下周操作建议

苹果周五收低6.6%, for2014year1月以来最大单日跌幅。据巴菲特旗下的伯克希尔公司在美国证交会提交的最新持股报告，巴菲特持有苹果公司逾2.5亿股股票。以苹果周五207.48美元的收盘价计算，巴菲特损失了37亿美元。苹果公司股价下跌，原因是该公司上季度iPhone出货量低于分析师预期。该公司还发布了今年剩余时间的财务展望，令一些投资者感到失望。这些因素抵消了该公司强于预期的盈利和收入。


Hang Seng Index Market Analysis


Hang Seng Index11号合约，恒指上周在触及年内新低24450附近，后反弹至26750受阻有所回落，单边行情，日内整体趋势呈震荡下行，布林带小时线已经拐头且MA形成死叉，收线在25900附近，已近接近26000一线压力，下周开盘建议做空为主，重点关注26000阻力，具体操作凌志会在实盘指导中给出，恒指波动较大需要注意进场点位，以免被扫损出局，自己把握不好的可以联系凌志我定知无不言。


1Suggest to use26000附近做空，目标直接看25000Stop loss100Points.


【goldMarket Analysis


黄金技术面来看，黄金日线上依旧维持高位震荡，区间参考1212-1243；金价在布林线中轨附近获得支撑后重拾涨势，完成了对9月份低位震荡区间(1180-1214)上轨的回踩确认，KDJandMACD死叉信号基本被破坏，金价重新回升至短期均线上方，短线看涨信号有所增加，有望上探布林线上轨1248.14附近阻力，而且后市延布林线上轨向上运行的可能性有所增加。下方初步支撑5Daily moving average1226.41附近，布林线中轨支撑在1215.61附近，若意外快速回落至布林线中轨下方，则削弱看涨信号。另外，金价短线也有维持在1212-1243区域震荡的可能，不过目前震荡上行的可能性有所增加。


1Suggestions1235Short selling nearby, target1223frontline:Stop loss3dollar


2Suggestions1232Short selling nearby, target1223Stop loss6dollar


【crude oilMarket Analysis


原油昨日继续爆量下跌，亚欧盘整理后，美盘小有诱多反弹，但是空间依旧小，没能给到计划65.80空点进场，最高只上探65.44一带承压，美盘时段快速破低，整理一天，破低集中在一个小时的时间段，最低则下探至63.10.低位放量的空间较大，日图大阴线。日图低位爆量阴线，比较尴尬的形态，趋势虽然看空，但这种连续的放量。出现大阴线之后，反倒不好追单。追低了稍有反弹，止损位置不好设置。不追的话，弱势修正直接下跌又会踏空点位，趋势虽空，但点位稍显被动。短线图台阶下行通道中运行，反弹不过次高点把握高空，只是由于低位放量后，空间边走边看，尽量是刷新低后及时盈即可。毕竟低位做单，惯性的下探后会伴随震荡修正。综合来看，今日操作思路上凌志3237229479My personal suggestion is to focus on rebounding at high levels, with long positions as a supplement, and pay close attention to the upper levels64.8-65.0一线阻力，关注63.0-62.8Frontline support.


1Suggestions62.50Long, target65.00Stop loss0.4dollar,


2Rebound665.0Short selling, target64.0Stop loss0.4dollar,


Lingzhi Lunjin believes that the three most important points in investing are: first, to understand and analyze a market trend; The second is to know how to control risks. As an investor, one should have a good mentality and correct investment concepts,3： The light position operation strictly stops profits and losses, and the direction is reversed. Stop losses in a timely manner and do not resist orders because our funds cannot withstand market conditions even if they are large. Positive people see an opportunity in every crisis, while negative people see some kind of crisis in every opportunity; Faced with volatile market conditions, we must seize every opportunity. Seizing an opportunity is equivalent to seizing tomorrow!


contributor/Ling Zhi Lun Jin