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Ke Baoying:10.29黄金短线有回落风险,黄金早间走势分析

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gold
Friday(10month26日)飙升,美市盘中最高上探至1243.32
dollar
/盎司,金价盘中现直线拉升,已站上1240dollar/盎司关口,最活跃goldfuturesContract in Beijing Time22:54The trading volume within one minute is6627The total value of trading contracts exceeds8亿美元。美元周五转跌,但
USD Index
仍运行在96关口上方;美股再度暴跌,三大stock market index下挫,道指下跌近500点,市场避险情绪急升对黄金构成一定支撑

黄金:黄金涨势逐渐放缓因美元指数的不断上涨以及市场风险情绪的回归,技术面显示,MACD上行动能柱逐渐收缩,KD指标呈震荡下行趋势,不过,MA均线整体走势依旧较为强劲,且RSI指标震荡上行依旧处于中轴上方。此外,option市场显示,投资者对黄金看涨期权的需求依然相对强劲,这也能为金价提供一定的支撑。
4小时图显示,黄金短线短线倾向下跌,技术指标走势较为消极,MACD下行动能柱不断拉升,且RSI指标也回落至中轴附近。此外,黄金KLine andMACD指标存在一个较大的顶背离趋势,这是典型的看跌信号。金价下行首先将测试此前旗形形态的上轨趋势线支撑,有效跌穿该趋势线在1227美元附近的支撑,那么金价或有望进一步扩大跌势。该位置同时也是60周期均线所在的支撑位。
黄金已连续四周录得上扬,势创1月以来最大单周涨幅。从技术上看,黄金短期内的技术优势不变,周四的大涨使金价完全突破了1230一线的羁绊,一度站上1240大关,涨势得到整固,黄金多头的下一个目标是攻克1250大关;空头短期内机会较少。第一阻力位是1240关口,其次是1250大关;下行方面第一支撑位是1230关口,其次是1220and1200关口,若上述水平下破,将考验本月的低点1183.04dollar/ounce.
综合来看:回调做多为主。可上方需要关注1238/1244Resistance, attention from below1225/1220Near.
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Suggest using1241-1243Consider short selling and stop loss nearby5US dollars, look at the target1236-1228Near USD;
2Suggest using1225-1227Consider going long and stopping losses nearby5US dollars, look at the target1235-1240Near USD


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