玉琪论金个人观点:黄金不太可能重新走上1400The US dollar, unless market volatility intensifies or the US dollar weakens. The market needs to undergo changes that are truly possible, such as a decline in the US dollar. However, the US dollar will continue to strengthen because the Federal Reserve is very tough on raising interest rates. The global stock market has rebounded for a long time, and if there is uncertainty in the financial market, the basis for gold's rebound may lie in rising volatility. Although trade disputes and tariffs have led to uncertainty, gold has not benefited from them. With the steady increase in US bond yields, US bonds have become a more preferred safe haven asset.
黄金走势分析:黄金技术面上分析来看,黄金日线图上收取一根阳线十字星,布林带指标小幅缩口运行,布林下轨于1183.5附近形成关键支撑,该位置不破,黄金空头难更进一步,MA5/MA10均线首要于1193.6附近形成压力,布林中轨及MA30Moving average at1196-97继续形成关键压力,MACDIndicator on0轴下方粘合运行,绿色量能冒头,指标中性;4小时图上看,布林带指标维持向下运行,布林下轨向下延伸至1181一线,但MA5/MA10均线下行之势有所减缓,首要于1187一线形成支撑,下方进一步支撑依然看1185/1183,布林中轨于1193.6附近形成关键压力,MA30The moving average continues on1196附近施压,MACDIndicator on0轴下方勾头向上运行,绿色量能持续缩减,指标中性;
gold1h趋势图,布林带3轨一直处于缩口状态,这也预示着短期黄金将窄幅震荡,MA10交投MA60形成死叉后10日均线出现拐头,下跌趋势暂缓更加明确了震荡的格局,k线运行在布林带中上轨区间震荡下行,受到10日均线支撑出现小幅反弹,若在布林带开口后k线实体跌破中轨支撑那么行情将继续走向空头,反之试探1195的可能性也非常大,附图MACDBilinear in0轴下方形成金叉,不破0轴进入正值区短期只能看作价格的反弹,红色动能柱逐渐收敛,快线有拐头的迹象。综合来看,玉琪论金认为不少美联储高官都对美国经济表达了乐观的看法,暗示渐进加息将是合适的。但特朗普却在周二再次对美联储表示不满,认为美联储加息过快。今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议回踩做多为主,反弹高空为辅。重点关注上方1194-1196One line of resistance, pay attention below1183-1185一线支撑。添加笔者玉琪论金weixinNumber(zyq1970622)每日行情解析,解套策略,中长线指导尽在其中,欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝杂谈!
gold10.10Operation suggestions:1#Lower callback to1184-1185Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1186-1188frontline;
2#Above not broken1194-1196Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1188-1186frontline;
crude oil走势分析:原油方面,昨日原油开盘在74.22,白盘价格一直小幅向上波动,晚间价格开始剧烈,最低下跌至74.00,不过随后快速拉升,最高上涨到75.28The final daily line is74.67收取一根小阳线,昨日原油基本上是一个震荡偏强的走势,虽然中间有过一波快速的下跌,但是反弹的速度也是非常快。日线上在连续走出3根阴线之后,昨日原油迎来的一根阳线,并且K线重新回归到MA5均线上方,这是比较重要的,虽然日线有形成双死叉的迹象,但是如果后续原油翻阳的话,那么这一波双死叉就很难走出来。
4小时上布林带开始缩口,上轨在75.30形成阻力点,下轨在73.80形成支撑点,K线和一众均线也是在布林带中轨附近,指标MACD快慢线也是纠缠在O轴的位置,表明短期原油进入到75.30-73.80区间的波动,关注后续的一波破位情况。综合来看,今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议区间采取高沽低渣即可,上方重点关注75.3-75.5One line of resistance, pay attention below73.8-74.0一线支撑。具体的解套及操作策略可以关注笔者宫肿浩:玉琪论金。
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