消息面:周五(9month28Day)20:30,美国商务部公布的8Monthly CorePCEPrice Index Annual Rate Report2%Both expected and previous values are2%; U.S.A8Monthly CorePCEMonthly rate of price index recorded0%Expected to be0.1%, previous value is0.2%; U.S.A8月个人支出月率录得0.3%Expected to be0.3%, previous value is0.4%。同时公布的加拿大7monthGDP月率则报0.2%Higher than expected0.1%, previous value is0%。数据公布后,美元波动不大,美元/加元小幅下挫,跌幅扩大至0.5%;现货黄金小幅上涨,涨幅为0.28%。 U.S.A8月消费者支出平稳增长。占美国经济活动三分之二以上的消费活动8Month on month growth0.3%,符合预期,略低于7Of0.4%,8月的消费支出主要由医疗保健支出推动,这抵消了机动车购买量的下降。不过周四公布的核心资本耐用品订单下滑以及商品贸易逆差的进一步扩大,促使经济学家将对三季度经济增速预起下调至2.8%。
黄金走势分析:金价跌破三角区域窄幅,打破区间,刷新前期以来的低位至1184. HoweverMACD再次出现结成死叉,KDJ死叉良好运行,金价此前在布林线中轨受阻后回落至布林线下轨下方,短线下行风险有所增加,初步支撑在1180关口附近,个人认为如果下破该位置,则可能会打开新的下行空间,不排除重新试探8month16Daily low point1160.10附近支撑的可能。上方初步阻力在1193Nearby,1195附近也存在一定的阻力,今日高点阻力在1198.10附近,布林线中轨阻力在附近,若意外顶破该位置,则增加看涨信号,目前来看金价还是偏向弱势,反弹需要时间来考量。初步参考1180-1198Breakthroughs in the region.
4小时级别来看,单边下跌,MACD、KDJ死叉,短线看空信号强烈。考虑到昨天黄金受到布林线中轨1198附近的压制,目前在1191附近,黄金在没有在升破1198位置前,短线偏向下行,8month24日的低点支撑在1186附近,目前已经失守该位置,短线增加了下行风险,进一步支撑在1180Nearby,1178附近也存在一定的支撑。上方留意1193关口附近阻力,如果意外顶破1193附近阻力,则可能会再次上探布林线中轨1198附近阻力;另外1195and1188附近也还分别存在一些阻力。综合来看,今日午夜操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以回调做多为主,高空为辅。上方重点关注1193-1195One line of resistance, pay attention below1185-1180一线支撑。不过玉琪论金也提醒大家一点,近两周周五的走势黄金波动都比较大,需警惕上演V型反转走势,所以大家操作时注意控制好风险!添加笔者玉琪论金WeiXinnumber(zyq1970622)Daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout are all included. like-minded individuals are welcome to come and have a long conversation!
gold9.28午夜操作建议:1#, unbreakable1178-1180Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1184-1186frontline;
2#See above1188-1190Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1182-1180frontline;
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