从技术面来看,日线结构上,周四(9.13)原油调整幅度之大还是始料未及的,日线大阴线的状昨日原油开盘在70.18一线,开盘后油价震荡走跌,在打到69.76后出现企稳,经过长时间的多空博弈后,空头占据上风,欧盘时段油价出现下跌,最低打到69.04,随后企稳油价反弹逐步走高,在打到69.71后,空头再次发力,油价直线下跌,最低打到68.36一线,随后企稳出现反弹68.96Callback68.61,油价进入震荡,收盘在68.78frontline.
从日线级别看,布林带开口向右,油价运行在中上轨,均线粘连向右发散,运行在k线上方,macd面快慢线粘连运行在零轴上方,向右发散,红色动能柱初现。kdj面三线中部金叉,现拐头向右。4小时级别看,布林带缩口,油价运行在下轨附近,均线空头排列运行在k线上方,macd面快慢线运行在零轴上方,死叉向下发散,绿色动能柱持续放量。kdj面三线运行在底部区域。整体表现空头趋势。综合来看虽然伊朗和委内瑞拉的供应减少,但8月全球原油供应仍创纪录新高。但是随着原油需求的减弱,原油价可能承压,下周一操作思路上此刻论金个人建议以反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方需要重点关注69.8-70.0One line of resistance, pay attention below68.0-68.2Frontline support.
美原油下周一操作建议:
1Rebound69.8-70.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4USD, target69.0-68.8frontline;
2Callback68.0-68.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4USD, target68.8-69.0First line, break through and continue to hold;
综合来看,黄金近两日频繁的出现过山车走势,其中缘由就是美联储会议纪要来临之前的方向选择的不确定性,以及市场多头头寸和空头头寸离场之后的市场反应,而这对于美联储会议纪要之前的黄金走势来说,近期的区间将是黄金继续调整的区域幅度,那么此刻论金预计这将是黄金近期不断调整的区域;而昨天黄金走势预期上,黄金走一波冲高回落,目前正处于下跌趋势当中,所以下周一操作思路上此刻论金个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方重点关注1204-1206One line of resistance, pay attention below1193-1195Frontline support.
下周一美黄金操作建议:
1Falling back1193-1195Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1200-1202frontline; 2See above1204-1206Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1198-1196First line, break through and continue to hold; 3、盘间行情实时变化具体操作建议以此刻论金指导实盘为准!
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