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Article Summary:2018.9.3Is it a rise in the US dollargold就跌?今天为什么会提前休市?九月份是不是确定加息9.3Gold long short single unraveling?9month3numberGOLDIs the London golden market rising or falling?9.3黄金短线怎么操作?9.3如何把握进场点位?9.3土耳其局势是影响黄金的关键因素吗?9.3做投资亏损怎么挽回损失9.3贸易战对黄金有没有直接影响?9.3锁仓的情况下需要注意什么?9.3What is the impact of the US dollar on gold?9.3号黄金的价格和哪些影响有关?
​赵亦富老师总结了以下亏损原因
1Without the guidance of the teacher, I looked around for group orders and small cycles, chasing back and forth, and losing back and forth.
2I have strong opinions and never trust anyone alone. I rely on the analysis of various teachers and make my own comprehensive orders. What I saw right, I didn't enter the arena because I didn't have confidence, and what I saw wrong, I did it. I lost and felt extremely unhappy, feeling like the sky and the earth were dark.
3Under the guidance of a teacher, always placing heavy orders and always looking backwards.
4When you look right, earn a little money and you'll get out. When you look wrong, you'll set or lock orders, and always end up cutting at the lowest point or cutting all the links between heaven and earth.
5The volatile market is doing well, but one day after heavy positions were chased back and forth, I developed a sense of fear towards the market and felt that every day was unilateral and I didn't dare to make orders, but in reality, every day was volatile
——本周主要关注非农数据及本月美联储加息如何布局—— This time8月美联储纪要结果已经出炉,九月加息(9month25-26日加息)已是不变的事实。记得亦富以前就说过,只要加息概率上升到了90%以上就很难下来了,而它则反映出的就是确认加息。
本周五晚上八点半将公布美国八月失业率和美国8Non agricultural employment population after rose adjustment(ten thousand people),数据一个月一次,到时行情会有剧烈波动,投资者需要重点关注。甚至还有的朋友第一次听说,咱们新入市的投资者可能对这种数据还不太了解,那么亦富就为各位提前分析一下这次数据该怎么看怎么做,提前做功课,总比临时抱佛脚强得多。这次数据亦富是看空黄金的,总结一下这个八月美国初请失业金人数数据公布了五次,五次都是利空金银,那么说明美国的就业市场在八月是非常强劲的,美国八月失业率当然也会降低,这自然利空看空黄金,另外,再用交易者的角度想问题,美国经济强劲导致黄金下跌最低位1160,但上涨却是因为两则避险情绪,一是川普前任私人律师认罪一事引发川普弹劾恐慌,二是美联储主席放出疑似九月可能不会加息言论,两则并非事实的推升,在风波平息后,让亦 富更坚定黄金依旧未打破大方向下跌的走势,这样,在九月非农时黄金才能再一次暴跌,如果没有这两件事情发生,黄金岂不是要跌破1100?这没有道理,所以只有这样来回洗盘,聪明人才能赚到钱,而临时抱佛脚补功课的人才会深受其害。 赵亦富个人认为:首先我们需要考虑到的就是加息对黄金以及美元有什么影响?很明显加息是利好美元,利空黄金的,那么加息后的操作上我们肯定是以做空为主的,另一方面,我们结合数据前后,技术面本身的发展,若行情处于一个头肩顶的状态,而下方又有很大空间,那么我们的操作肯定是要顺势做空的,最后我们还需要关注市场消息的发展,当加息来临时我们考虑的不仅仅是要做空黄金,还要考虑到避险消息面,因为它很有很可能会使得行情反转(当然几率很小,但也要预防)。赵亦富知道很多人都想在加息和非农这样的大行情中大捞一笔,但是自己在操作上又占不到优势,根据这一点,赵亦 富会在九月的布局中给出方案,想要跟上操作的可以。 具体操作策略以赵 亦富老师:Weiw0577125The actual offer shall prevail.
​——黄金后市分析及操作建议——
从四小时来看,黄金于1208区域形成小双顶回落,目前布林带三轨走平,K线运行在布林带中下轨之间,目前短周期 Moving Average5Run the daily hook upwards,K线连阴形态运行在布林中轨和MA均线下方,处于弱势下跌行情中。
从小时线来看,震荡回落,于MA5均线呈现下跌,MA均线于上方形成重重阻力,说明小时线黄金处于下跌行情中,今 天亚盘开盘后黄金震荡下跌。