Du Shuqi:9.3August is coming to a perfect end, and may gold and silver fall by nine or ten?

Du Shuqi:9.3August is coming to a perfect end, and may gold and silver fall by nine or ten?


Sand by the river is waste, cement piled up in the warehouse is also waste, but when they are mixed together, they are fine, rice is fine, gasoline is also fine, but when they are mixed together, they become waste. Reality tells us that it doesn't matter whether it's a masterpiece or a waste, but it's important who it matches! The world of growth has no end, and the life of learning has no boundaries. One flower can bear fruit, while the other cannot bear fruit. They are equally beautiful, and can all bloom beautiful flowers. In the investment market, some people have gained a lot, while others have suffered consecutive losses. Although they have the same experience, they have different results. The wise person summarizes the reasons for failure, while the foolish person complains about the unfairness of the market.

Shuqi News Face


The Federal Reserve is becoming increasingly hawkish in its crackdowngoldBoosting the US dollar, in addition, this week the US Senate finally confirmed Clarita as a member of the Federal Reserve, which ultimately established the overall hawkish pattern of the Federal Reserve. Clarida's term will be four years, and he is seen as a key ally of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, who, along with centrist decision-makers, supports a gradual rate hike within the Federal Reserve. With Clarida taking office, the "Federal Reserve's Big Three (Chairman, Vice Chairman, and New York Fed Chairman)" were formed. From the current board structure, Brainard will be the only dove, while others are closer to Powell's view of supporting a gradual rate hike, which will to some extent drive the strength of the US dollar. Market analysts say that with the gradual determination of the Federal Reserve's candidates, the pace of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve will also accelerate, and it is expected that there will be two more rate hikes this year,2019Year still has3The pace of interest rate hikes will not stop until the neutral interest rate is reached, which may lead to continued pressure on gold.


Pay attention to non-farm data, which will be released early this month. For the Federal Reserve3.9%The unemployment rate is also an appropriate benefit, as the Federal Reserve believes4.5%It is the natural unemployment rate, and the current employment situation happens to be at a level where the economy will not overheat. The previous rebound in unemployment rate actually reflects more of the confidence of local residents in the job market. Under optimistic expectations of wage increases, voluntary unemployment or more people participating in the labor market can increase the base. The reason why salary growth has been slow to recover is due to the influx of more low skilled employees and the vacancy of high paying positions, which are factors contributing to the weak salary growth. However, the inflation level in the United States is close to3%This has boosted the determination of the Federal Reserve to normalize monetary policy. Their goal is to ensure prices and promote maximum employment. Currently, the strong US economy can withstand gradual interest rate hikes and also needs to curb the import inflation problem caused by tariffs. Due to9The interest rate hike in the month is firmly established,12The probability of a monthly interest rate hike has also rebounded, so if the non farm data is better than expected this time, it may further push up the US dollar and put pressure on gold prices.


Shu Qi to analyze

Gold surged and fell last week, but encountered obstacles1214After the first line turned negative, it oscillated weakly and went down. Price regressionMA5Rihe10Below the daily moving average, the momentum of the previous rebound has not continued, so it is difficult to have a comparison on Monday this week. In terms of short cycles, last Friday saw a rise and fall within the day, and the US market fell, testing the low point in the early stage1196Nearby, above is the1208Double tops on the front line suppress the decline, with a high point in the early stage1214When the front line encounters resistance, the high point retreats in the early stage, and the low point gradually moves downwards, so the pattern of oscillation and decline is more obvious. So, within the day, the upward resistance of the backflow will be1201-02On the first line, this is the peak of the hour line and the transition position of the support and resistance of the trend line. We will continue to observe the rebound momentum during the day. Charge up and fall back, support below1195-96And then again1190-91.


Shu Qi suggests that you


Noon1195-96Long, stop loss1192，


target1200-1201.rebound1201-02Stop loss without breaking short1206，


target1295-96, take a break to see1191-90.


Shu Qi told you

The strong wind knows the strong grass, and the scorching fire refines true gold. Greed, fear, hesitation, decisiveness, bravery, prudence, conformity, and other aspects of human personality are exposed in market transactions. To some extent, profit is a reward for your character strengths during the trading process, while loss is a punishment for your character weaknesses during the trading process. Technically easy to learn, psychologically sad. Human nature manifests one by one in the ups and downs of the market. By controlling one's psychology, recognizing human nature, staying away from the herd, and standing opposite the majority of people, you have already won half of the market.