Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:8.30黄金千二关口多空拉锯后市有望迎突破，黄金晚间走势分析

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Message: Wednesday(8month29day)美元兑多数G-10货币走低，因加拿大与美国有望本周完成NAFTA谈判提升风险情绪，与此同时，英镑隔夜迅猛的升势压制美元。受美元连续第4日承压走低影响，现货gold上日小幅反弹，不过整体仍受限于1200/1210窄幅区间内。

Thursday(8month30day)亚市早盘，市场维持窄幅震荡格局，美元试图从95关口下方反弹，非美货币涨跌不一，与此同时，现货黄金则继续徘徊在1200关口上方。日内市场聚焦今晚美联储最为青睐的通胀指标——美国核心PCE数据。与此同时，新兴市场货币危机仍值得警惕。




今日周四晚20:30To be announced in the United States7Monthly CorePCEPrice index annual rate, expected to be6The highest level since the beginning of the year2%, previous value is1.9%，作为美联储最常使用的通胀指标之一，上周美联储主席鲍威尔在央行年会上表示“没有看到通胀过热的迹象”，今日数据表现将对盘面起到重要的指引。并且晚间的初请数据也是我们关注的重点！




玉琪论金老师个人观点：近期黄金的走势主要都是由美元主导，后市美元涨势是否进入阶段性尾声，直接决定了本轮黄金能走多远。长线来看，刺激美元继续走强的因素在逐渐消失，这决定了黄金最终能够赢得翻身机会。但不可忽略的是短期美国经济韧性仍在，昨日消费者信心处于近18年来的最高水平，良好的基本面也决定了目前美指不具备大跌的基础。美指涨势尚未完全进入尾声阶段，这为黄金反弹涨势持久性打了折扣。目前来看，美指区间震荡，黄金1200关口多次得而复失，表明市场在此分歧较大。黄金若不能有效突破1200关口，并持稳在该水平上方，则说明金价逆转仍需时间等待。

黄金走势分析：黄金，继周二的大幅回撤之后隔日于千二一带上方维持盘整修复，日线上看黄金小幅收阳并成功守稳1200The US dollar level will further consolidate its bullish sentiment. Currently, gold operates on1205In the US dollar area, it has been tested multiple times and has been affected1208The US dollar has been suppressed, while further resistance is at this week's high1214In the US dollar area, only when gold prices break through this resistance band can they continue to be bullish, while on the contrary, they continue to maintain consolidation. And below, the focus is on the support of the thousand two level. Once it breaks, it will increase the risk of its decline, and at this time, the gold price is returning1200美元关口后多方力量占据优势，但能否继续上行还有待观察。技术面上分析来看，黄金日线图上收取一根小阳线，KLine running onMA5Moving average line,MA10Moving averages and Bollinger Bands1199Key support is formed nearby,MACDIndicator on0Below the axis, maintain the upward movement of the golden cross. The red volume can maintain volume, with strong indicators. The overall daily trend stabilizes above the thousand two mark, and is in a slightly rebounding pattern;




short-term4On the hourly line, gold prices steadily rise along the Bollinger Bands, with a short-term moving average5/10日均线指标紧跟上行步伐，但其它均线指标上行显得较为缓慢，所以依然有回调的风险出现，今天需要重点留意5The turning of the daily moving average, if the gold price breaks down again5Daily moving average and downward crossing10The daily moving average may still have the opportunity to seek support near the Bollinger Bands in the short term. In terms of indicators,macdKeep the double line at0轴上方金叉运行，但红能的力度稍有放缓;sto在靠近超买区附近处于粘合状态。所以4小时整体看，依然有回调出现。




In summary, the next day's announcementGDPThe data was better than expected, but the US Composite Index failed to hold onto key support. The decline in the US Composite Index was mainly due to two factors: first, Canada is expected to reach an agreement with the USNAFTAThe second is that there is currently a turning point in the Brexit negotiations, and the market's risk aversion sentiment has significantly cooled. From a technical perspective, the US Composite Index closed below the key trend line on Wednesday. If it continues to close lower this trading day, it is basically certain that the US Composite Index will continue to decline. Based on this week's situation, gold is overall in a1200-1214美元区间内维持盘整，但于千二关口支撑得失的拉锯，多头仍是占据上风，但在短期内没有跌破或者突破支撑、阻力位之前不可盲目追涨杀跌，今日晚间短线操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅。上方重点关注1208-1210One line of resistance, pay attention below1198-1200一线支撑。添加笔者玉琪论金WeiXinnumber(zyq1970622)Daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout are all included. like-minded individuals are welcome to come and have a long conversation!

crude oil走势分析：日线连阳上涨走高，本周的原油我们需要跟随盘面思路看涨，但上涨的空间不会大，主要是原油离之前的大顶非常近，大顶下方有修复和整理的需要，再加之上周上涨过多有修复的需要，所以本周行情震荡式上涨的可能性非常大。短期均线金叉运行，隔夜油价顶破了100Daily moving average68.70附近支撑，有望进一步上探7month30Daily high point70.40附近阻力，布林线上轨阻力也在该位置附近，能否进一步上破还有待观察。




四小时死叉和MCAD向下放量都未能带动行情启动下探，操作上围绕小时图通道支撑线做布局跟进，一旦跌破趋势支撑线，将重新调整思路，小时图顶背离信号已经开始逐步出现，当行情破支撑线后，切记调整向下思路。综合来看，周线已转阳，形态上走进超买区域，油价大方向可能再一次挑战70美元整数关口阻力，所以今日晚间操作思路上玉琪论金建议短线暂以回落做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注70.5One line of resistance, pay attention below68.8一线支撑。具体的解套或者实时指导策略可以关注功肿/Hao "Yuqi discusses the acquisition of gold"!




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Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00




Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team



Wen/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)