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Wednesday(8month29day)美元兑多数G-10货币走低,因加拿大与美国有望本周完成NAFTA谈判提升风险情绪,与此同时,英镑隔夜迅猛的升势压制美元。受美元连续第4日承压走低影响,现货黄金上日小幅反弹,不过整体仍受限于1200/1210窄幅区间内。今日亚市早盘,市场维持窄幅震荡格局,美元试图从95关口下方反弹,非美货币涨跌不一,与此同时,现货黄金则继续徘徊在1200关口上方。日内市场聚焦今晚美联储最为青睐的通胀指标——美国核心PCE数据。与此同时,新兴市场货币危机仍值得警惕。
当前来看,1200美元大关似乎不容易持续性突破,特别是金融投资者仍然持怀疑态度。虽然短期投机投资者可能在近几天对一些空头头寸进行平仓,但采取较长期观点的ETF投资者仍在继续撤出。总体看起来黄金市场仍然乐于做空。但仍然缺少一个打破区间的契机,今晚的PCE预计将产生不小的波动,如果PCEThe underperformance of the data may further hit the US dollar, driving gold prices to strengthen. At present, the spot gold price remains at1200dollar/Above the ounce level.
Gold Price, Technical Analysis of Gold:
小时走势来看,很明显大区间1200-1226,当然如果1200破位的话,多头不可恋战,而是等待反抽介入空单,近期4小时收线很奇怪,连阳走势不延续,连阴走势,但是没有有效破位,所以只能保持观望思路,再加上短期均线指标MA5明显下穿MA10The daily moving average is located at0轴下方运行,配合附图指标MACD死叉放量,4小时看好震荡下行走势。