Xiaowen's Discussion on Jin:8.29Oil market welcomes againEIAThe baptism of "wind and rain", the Hang Seng Index's strategy for gold, crude oil, and copper

The first heavyweight data of the week was unveiled tonight, and the US dollar launched a counterattack; The oil market is in chaos, but tonight's oil prices still depend on it; Canada is under a lot of pressure,NAFTAThere is a definite decision on whether to keep or not to keep the market; The biggest rebound obstacle serves as a stumbling block,goldIs it difficult to make any progress?

Looking ahead to today, the first heavyweight economic data of the week is about to emerge, and the US dollar is expected to launch a stunning counterattack; Oil prices are intertwined with long and short factors, whether it's life or death tonightEIAThe final say; Canada's pressure has sharply increased and is expected to remainNAFTAMiddle; Insufficient consumer demand is driving up the price of gold, and the biggest obstacle to the rebound is also hindering it, making it difficult for the price of gold to improve significantly.

Is there an opportunity for the US dollar to counterattack with heavyweight economic data?

The poor performance of multiple economic data released last week has caused many analysts to worry that the US economy is starting to show cracks. The Federal Reserve of San Francisco released a study on Monday stating that the narrowing gap between short-term and long-term borrowing costs may indicate an increased risk of economic recession in the United States. This may strengthen the dovish shift in expectations from the Federal Reserve, as some Fed officials have seen the flattening of the yield curve as a reason not to raise interest rates.

In the past nine trading days, the US dollar recorded a decline in eight of them. However, the US Consumer Confidence Index released yesterday hit nearly18The annual high has boosted the US dollar. Bloomberg think tank said that although the US dollar has slightly fallen, it will soon rebound and is currently a good opportunity to long the US dollar. tonight20:30US Q2 actual will be releasedGDPThe annualized quarterly rate correction value, which is also the first heavyweight data of the week, is expected to be4%, previous value is4.1%. If the performance is impressive, it is expected to revive the expectation of interest rate hikes and help the US dollar rebound.

The oil market opens up a chaotic battle and welcomes the baptism of "wind and rain" again tonight

Faced with the interweaving of bullish and bearish factors such as the situation in Iran and intensified trade frictions, the future trend of oil prices may be extremely volatile. tonight22:30We will also announce the US to8month24Day and WeekEIAcrude oilInventory, expected to decrease52.2Ten thousand barrels. last weekEIACrude oil inventory plummeted583.6Ten thousand barrels, caught off guard by killing crude oil bears. If this weekEIAIf crude oil inventories continue to decline, there will be room for oil prices to continue to rise.

However, the announcement of the US to8month24Day and WeekAPIUnexpected increase in crude oil inventory3.8Ten thousand barrels, both oil and crude oil in the US and Brazil experienced a slight decline in the short term. In addition, US refineries will operate in9Seasonal maintenance will be carried out after Labor Day at the beginning of the month, and gasoline demand will also experience a seasonal decline due to the end of summer, which are all factors that will affect oil prices in the future.

Analysis and Layout of the Hang Seng Index Market

（8month29The Hang Seng Index surged yesterday28500Unable to stabilize, it directly fell back and rested. The hourly chart closed, forming a trend of rest. The daily chart also belongs to a horizontal situation. The hourly chartMA20Above is also a suppression position. Yesterday afternoon, it continued to fluctuate but failed to rise, leading to a decline in the evening. Today, it appears that a stable rebound can be achieved through short selling at the first line of suppression.

1Suggest to use28300Short selling nearby, target28120First line, break through to see28000Stop loss80Points

[Gold Market Analysis Layout]

（8month29Japanese US gold rose to1220Above, after rebounding above, it went down directly and then left15The decline of the US dollar caused four hours of declineMACDThe ancillary indicators have formed a dead cross downward trend, and currently the medium track is forming a support level. In the intraday view, there is a slight rebound to short the daily medium track. The recent news has affected the ups and downs of gold, so it is recommended to grasp the range.

1Suggest to use1210Nearby empty orders enter, target1204Stop loss4dollar

[Layout of crude oil market analysis]

（8month29Yesterday, US crude oil fluctuated and fell, and currently there is a break in the daily chartMA40It is a support position on the front line. Yesterday, the closing line was below, and the hourly line showed a bearish trend. Today, we will mainly see a slight rebound and short selling.

1Suggest to use68.70Nearby empty orders enter, target68.00USD, stop loss0.4

【 Analysis and Layout of Copper Market in the United States 】

（8month29Recently, Meijing Copper has been fluctuating on the daily middle track. Yesterday's closing was still below the middle track, and today's opening has stabilized above the middle track. Today, it is still bullish and stable, but can wait for a pullback. If it is aggressive, it can go long at the current price.

1Suggest rebound2.7250Multiple entry nearby, target2.7600Stop loss0.01

If I am advantageous and the customer is not, then the customer does not exist; If my profit is large and the customer's profit is small, then the customer will not be long; If the customer benefits me equally, then the customer can survive for a long time, and I can benefit for a long time!

Wen/Xiaowen's Discussion on Jin(xwd860)