InternationalgoldMonday(8month27The Asian market opened in the morning1206.80dollar/盎司后金价小幅上涨后转跌,震荡下行,之后又小幅反弹,涨跌不定。欧市金价继续下挫,录得日内低点1202.47dollar/盎司后反弹,多头上攻。美市金价再现直线拉升,金价跳涨,录得日内高点1212.38dollar/盎司后转跌,后又小幅反弹,终收于1209.47dollar/盎司。周一市场再起波澜,一则美墨达成自贸协议的消息大大提振市场。据外媒报道,美国高级官员表示,美国正式与墨西哥就北美自由贸易协定达成协议。美国贸易代表办公室随后公布,美国和墨西哥达成了一项贸易协议,并将取代北美自由贸易协定。受美墨自贸协议达成消息的刺激,黄金继续反弹,盘中最高上探至1212.38dollar/盎司,金价已运行在1210一线上方。美元则扩大跌幅,美元指数已跌破95Pass, run below it.
周二需要重点关注意大利8monthIstatconsumer(manufacturing)信心指数、 eurozone7月货币供应M3Annual rate, United States7Initial monthly wholesale inventory rate, US8The Consumer Confidence Index of the Conference Chamber of Commerce in June.
——黄金分析——
近期黄金行情再受到美土影响,试探低点1160一线附近后出现快速反弹。上周5金价更是出现单日24美金的上涨力度。昨日黄金开盘后出现回落冲高。从目前走势上看看,黄金行情依旧处于明显的上涨趋势。从日线上看,布林带处于持平,金价运行在布林带中轨和上轨强势区间,且金价向上站稳均线支撑上方,均线形成金叉上扬,行情处于明显上涨趋势,上方可关注上轨1218First line pressure, following below30Daily moving average1206支撑。从4Online viewing of hours,K线连续收取小阳线,且布林带出现开口上行趋势,均线MA5,MA10形成二度金叉看涨形态行情走势同样处于多头走势。小时线方面, 布林带收口后再次出现开口,且K线伴随布林带上轨向上运行,行情处于上涨趋势。综上所述:;日线,4小时,小时线周期金价均处于上涨趋势,操作建议可进行多单大胆操作。
黄金策略:建议回调1200-1204Long in batches, stop loss1198, Objective1216-1218nearby
原油从当前的日线级别上来看,油价五连阳突破中轨阻力68美元,在周四整理之后周尾一举上冲69一线,虽然尾盘承压下探了一波,但依旧保持68上方整理,低位未破目前还是上涨势头,这将大程度上显现出油价将奔向70美元大关,四小时级别来看,油价两度跌至64.4The formation of a double needle bottoming oil price near the US dollar has led to a rebound in oil prices. Similarly, it has emerged from five consecutive bullish periods and directly pushed oil prices to a high level, breaking through the Bollinger Bands. The weekly trend has turned positive, and it has entered an overbought area in form. The overall direction of oil prices may once again challenge the trend70美元整数关口阻力,短线暂以回落做多为主,关注反弹力度,强势的话周一还会有新高,若没有再考虑延续性。
技术面上原油周线大阳吞阴,日线连阳上涨走高,本周的原油我们需要跟随盘面思路看涨,但上涨的空间不会大,主要是原油离之前的大顶非常近,大顶下方有修复和整理的需要,再加之上周上涨过多有修复的需要,所以本周行情震荡式上涨的可能性非常大。综合来看,亚盘操作思路上老杨个人建议回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注69.2-69.4One line of resistance, pay attention below68.0-68.2一线支撑。操作不理想者可添加邓鑫缘—唯欣dxy7189每日行情分析、解套策略指导尽在其中,欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝长谈!
原油策略:建议回调67.8-68.0Long in batches, stop loss67.5Currently69.3-69.5frontline.