Last Friday(8month24日),受到美联储主席鲍威尔讲话影响,现货黄金反弹回升,上破1200关口,美元继续下挫,一度逼近95关口。美总统特朗普接连遭遇前私人律师科恩“反水”认罪,以及科恩律师Davis爆料“通俄门”证据的沉重打击,被弹劾几率急剧上升。该消息引发对避险资产的需求,黄金一度攻破1200Gate refresh7A new high in trading days.
上周中美贸易方面再度出现新进展。据新华社报道,周四中美双方互相针对对方价值160Billion dollar commodity collection25%的关税。目前为止,中美两国已经对各自价值500亿美元的商品互征关税。关于NAFTA谈判,美国总统特朗普认为,可能即将达成“非常公平”的北美自由贸易协定。据外媒,美国与墨西哥最早将于当地时间周一达成协议。随后加拿大将加入NAFTA相关谈判。
Du Shuqi - Market Analysis
日线级别低位反弹,金价再次突破了短期均线的各项阻力,削弱了短线下行风险,MACDForming a red energy pillar with a dead cross below the zero axis, gold is expected to further rise,KDJThe golden cross formed at a low position is still intact and not damaged. It diverges upwards, and the gold failed to stand firmly on the middle track of the forest belt on Friday1209A line of resistance is still hovering between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands, and the bearish trend has not been completely disrupted. Currently, gold prices have broken through5、10、20Above the moving average40日均线之下,本周若黄金再次意外收复布林带中轨1209一线,则增加看涨信号,若没有收复该位置之前,继续看震荡1195-1210Interval oscillation.
4小时线上来看,上个交易日逐步上行,目前有所改观,布林带下轨由开口已经逐步开始向上缩口,短期均线5The daily moving average has stopped falling and is gradually turning upwards, with another upward trend10日均线的趋势。macdBilinear in0There are signs of another transition towards the golden cross near the axis, and the green energy has already disappeared;stoThe double line is already in use20The axis transforms into a golden cross near it and further diverges upwards. Currently, the express line has broken through50Axis, slow lines also have the opportunity to break up. comprehensive4小时上来看,黄金有重新摆脱弱势局面的迹象,就等接下来站上布林带上轨,这一格局将会更明显。如果不能,那么格局有望继续回归弱势。综合来看今日操作舒奇建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1210-1212One line of resistance, pay attention below1196-1198Frontline support.