美元上周战败，待看后市行情

Consultation website:www.fxcgcn.com
2018-08-27
Morning analysis:
上周对美指来说是糟糕的一周，特朗普多次抨击美联储高息政策，并且对美联储主席鲍威尔个人进行了批评，引得美元连续下挫，尽管杰克逊霍尔年会期间鲍威尔表示，美国经济表现强劲，通胀率接近2%的联储目标，大多数想找工作的人都能找到工作。如果薪资和就业增长强劲的势头持续，逐步上调联邦基金利率目标区间可能是恰当的。美联储的决定是谨慎行事。并认为目前渐进加息的路径，是FOMC严肃看待经济过热和过早收紧政策这两种风险的做法。但市场仍然不给美联储买账，美指周五大跌，非美及贵金属反弹之势得以延续。本周较重要数据有美国二季度GDP修正值、EIAcrude oil库存数据、API原油库存数据、美国7monthPCE物价指数，观察美指能否在本周扭转颓势。


EUR/USD：
四小时图显示，欧美价格1.1530在杰克逊霍尔年会期间表现出有力支撑，价格上穿1.1620，若持有多单，可大部止盈出局，留有小部止盈上移至1.1670，移动止损也可移动至保本的位置。1.1450to1.1530的支撑带仍是判断价格能否重启大跌之势的关键参考。


USD/JPY：
四小时图显示，维持上周五判断，美日再度来到111.40Frontline, short selling trading can be considered, with stop loss set to111.90Take profit first to see the front low109.90Above, if the price continues to fall, the price will increase108.20Get closer. The recent trend of the US and Japan is not strongly correlated with the US Composite Index, so it is advisable to be less aggressive in trading.


XAUUSD/XAGUSD：
四小时图显示，金价大涨至1208.00In the area, short selling trading can be considered, with stop loss set at1220.00The first goal is to see the front low1160.00Silver prices have also risen, but there are still no good trading opportunities.


Trading strategy, for reference only
The trading strategy is provided by the technical department


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