Poetry, tea, and gold:8.26-8.27Will crude oil reverse its decline next week? How to look at the future market?

　　Article Summary:1、8.24Friday market review;2Last Fridaycrude oilWhy did it skyrocket?3、8.27Analysis of crude oil trends and operational strategies;4Opinion on the future market of poetry and tea;5What should I do if I cover my crude oil empty bill?6Personal message


Losing money in the investment market is not scary, what's scary is that you feel fear and panic psychologically when you lose money; How far a person can go on the investment journey depends on who they are traveling with; Why can eagles perfectly capture prey? Because it can clarify our goals, we also need to clarify our goals and find the right direction on the investment road. Only then can we stand firm in the investment market, stand higher, and see further. Psychological factors in investment are also important. Don't choose to trust others just because of short-term benefits. Therefore, your own choices are important. Adjust your mindset and choose investments with a calm mindset, so that you won't be afraid by external and internal factors.

　　8.24Friday Market Review


United StatesWTIcrude oil10monthfuturesThursday(8month23day)Closing down0.03Yuan, or0.04%Report67.83dollar/Bucket. Brent crude oil10Monthly futures closed lower on Thursday0.05USD, or0.07%Report74.73dollar/Bucket. Although the positive impact of the US crude oil inventory report is still fermenting, the resurgence of trade tensions between China and the United States has increased investor concerns, and the strong rebound of the US dollar has also put pressure on oil prices. United StatesWTICrude oil futures prices hit their lowest point during trading67.32dollar/Bucket.


　　Why did crude oil skyrocket last Friday?


Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said on Friday that he expects interest rates to continue slowly and steadily, and the central bank hopes to find the right way between promoting growth and controlling excessive behavior. Powell stated that there is no sign that inflation will accelerate to rise2%Above, it is this sentence that makes the dollar bulls shudder. Powell's words have just fallen, and the US dollar index is down about in the short term30Point and approximation95Gateway. Earlier in the day, Federal Reserve official Brad unexpectedly made dovish remarks, which has put pressure on the US dollar.


Baker Hughes, an American oil service company(BakerHughes)Friday(8month24day)According to published data, as of8month24During the current week, the number of active oil wells in the United States sharply decreased9Seat to860Seat, created as2016year5The largest weekly decline since the beginning of the month. More data shows that as of8month24The total number of active oil and gas drilling in the United States decreased during the current week13Sitting on1044Seat.


The United States has restarted sanctions against Iran, which is the first round of planned sanctions. The second round of sanctions is expected to take place11Implemented at the beginning of the month. At present, the main purpose of the first round of sanctions is to restrict Iran's crude oil exports, while the second round of sanctions is to restrict Iran's energy infrastructure and crude oil export facilities, thereby increasing the risk of global energy supply shortages. Most EU companies have currently suspended trade with Iran due to concerns that US sanctions will increase. Nevertheless, China has stated that it will continue to purchase Iranian crude oil.


Personal opinion of Shiming Pinjin: Powell's speech on Friday night caused the US dollar index to experience a correction, putting pressure on the US dollar index, opening up room for the upward trend of crude oil and providing some support for the downward trend of oil prices. There has also been a significant decrease in nighttime drilling data, creating a new record2016year5The largest weekly decline since the beginning of the month and the bullish drilling data have also boosted the rise of crude oil; Secondly, the US sanctions against Iran have started to ferment in the market, and institutions have made significant purchases of long positions to boost oil prices. So, Shiming Pinjin believes that crude oil will experience a short-term pullback next week to repair the technical gap in crude oil, providing guidance for the following67.70/67.14With a certain level of support, crude oil will follow a downward trend next week.

　　8.27Analysis of crude oil trend next Monday


From4From an hourly perspective, oil prices have fallen twice to64.4The formation of a double needle bottoming oil price near the US dollar has led to a rebound in oil prices. Similarly, it has emerged from five consecutive bullish periods and directly pushed oil prices to a high level, breaking through the Bollinger Bands. The weekly trend has turned positive, and it has entered an overbought area in form. The overall direction of oil prices may once again challenge the trend70The resistance of the US dollar at the integer level is important. Pay attention to the strength of the rebound. If institutions engage in strong selling to boost crude oil, crude oil may continue to explore a wave of upward pressure in the short term69.30The suppression situation, breaking through and standing firm69.30Crude oil will directly challenge the upper level70-70.19If the resistance level is not broken, it will lead to a pullback and a decline to repair the technical gap, providing support to the lower level68.40/67.70A certain level of support. Next week, in terms of operational strategy, it is recommended that Shiming Pinjin focus on buying long with a downward trend in the short term, supplemented by a high-altitude approach. Focus on the top69.30/69.68/70.19Line resistance, below68.40/67.70/67.14Support the area.


　　8.27Crude oil operation strategy:


Strategy 1: Steady rebounds upwards69.0-69.25Interval empty entry, stop loss69.60, Objective68.30By breaking through and reducing positions, we can see that67.56-67.70section;


Strategy 2: Radicals rebound68.88Short nearby, stop loss0.3USD, target0.4-0.8USD;


Strategy Three: Callback Below67.56-67.70Long without breaking the range, stop loss0.3USD, target0.3-0.6USD;


(The market is constantly changing, and due to the delayed nature of online posts, operational strategies are for reference only. Real time strategies will be provided from time to time in Moments)


Shiming Pinjin's view on the future market: In fact, we can fundamentally analyze the oil prices in the future. The recent rebound in crude oil is mainly due to the US sanctions on Iran, which has led to a shortage of global supply, and institutional concerns that the US's second sanctions on Iranian crude oil have intensified, resulting in a rebound and surge in crude oil prices. If institutional bulls believe that the upward momentum of crude oil is insufficient and sell off, then oil prices may face the risk of a waterfall like drop at any time; After all, in terms of market newsOPECThe production reduction agreement is still ongoing, and efforts are being made to increase production, resulting in an increase in domestic crude oil inventory production in the United States1010000 barrels to110010000 barrels/Today, this will undoubtedly lay a time bomb for oil prices; However, Shiming Pinjin believes that the technical aspect of oil prices facing unilateral increases has not been corrected, and there has been no effective support provided below crude oil. Relying solely on news to stimulate the rise of crude oil will be limited, and the support below crude oil cannot be established. It is difficult for oil prices to continue to rise; So Shiming Pinjin believes that oil prices have not successfully broken through the upper limit70-70.19Before the resistance is suppressed, crude oil may face the risk of a cascading drop at any time. Do not easily pursue the excess to prevent the risk of being trapped.

　　What should I do if the empty sheet is covered?


Many investors start to panic and worry after being covered, constantly asking multiple teachers for their opinions on whether it will rise or fall. During their questioning process, they had already missed the best opportunity to remedy it. That's why my friends who make orders with me must learn first and learn to judge for themselves.


　　What should I do immediately when an empty sheet is covered?


As an investor, you should learn to be responsible for your own funds. After all, your money is earned through hard work, not just by lying down in a flood. Therefore, before investing, you must learn the ability to make your own judgments. When you set an order, do not be at a loss and start to panic to find your teacher. Instead, you should be calm and follow your own judgment to make the most correct choice. Then go to your teacher and see if their opinions are the same as yours. If the direction is clearly reversed, be decisive and take advantage of the situation.


　　How to untie an empty sheet that has been covered?


After locking the order, you need to choose the appropriate time to unlock it, that is, to close the two orders separately. If you never close the position, although the account shows no loss, in addition to bearing the interest of the overnight order, your subsequent operations will also be affected. There are two difficulties in solving an order: the point and time of solving the order. At what location and when to close the order will directly affect the profit and loss of your account. Simply put, it is best to find a break point, and the time must be when the market direction is clear.


Personal message: We cannot control the sudden changes in the market situation. Just think that in life, there are some things that cannot be avoided and are always beyond our control. The only thing we can do for these is to comply. For sudden market trends, we cannot predict them. All we can do is to strictly stop loss when placing orders, maintain a calm attitude, and not maliciously take orders to get rid of the mentality of taking chances. A sudden change in the market is not scary, what's scary is that you don't react, just wait, and ultimately miss the best opportunity to recover losses, as well as the opportunity to profit from the trend.

Perhaps you are feeling very confused now, perhaps you are looking for identical articles, perhaps you are already disappointed in this market, but please believe that at least you still have me! Shiming Pinjin dare not say that she is a clear stream in this industry, but she is definitely the most responsible teacher.


Online articles usually have timeliness, and if you miss a point, do not pursue and control risks. There are often market opportunities, so it is better to miss them than to make mistakes!


You give me a trust, I give you a lot of profit. In the market, we rely on our strength to speak. True gold is not afraid of fire. Welcome to verify the strength of poetry, tea, and gold.


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