8.26Weekly evaluation of crude oil,Next monday8.27Crude oil market forecast and operational strategy with short orders to unwind!

　　Outline:1Last Friday8.24crude oilWhy did there be a surge?;2Next Monday8.27Will crude oil continue to rise or reverse its decline? Should crude oil be bullish or bearish in the future?;3Next Monday8.27Prediction of crude oil market and operational strategies;4Can the crude oil empty bill be released next week? How to remove the cover of crude oil empty orders?;5Author's message.


After listening to many great truths, we still can't make good trades. We have learned a lot of theoretical knowledge, but we still can't handle it with ease. If we are not greedy, we will not be defeated. If we are not afraid, we will win. Sometimes we want to prove it to ten thousand people, but we find that in the end, only we can understand ourselves. The survival law of the market is the law of the jungle, and it is destined that a group of people will be eliminated by the market. I hope you are not the one to be brushed off.


No matter how good the market is, only by seizing it can you make a profit. On the contrary, if you miss it, you will lose an opportunity. However, don't lose heart, don't give up, there are still many opportunities. If you miss one, don't miss the next, because every good market can allow you to flip your position at any time, as long as you seize it. Although there is no 100% accuracy in the quality of poetry and tea, only stable profits; Don't be a hindsight, let every profit truly and truly make you feel and benefit from it. If I can never find you, then I can only stand in the most prominent place and let you find me

　　Last Friday8.24Why did crude oil skyrocket?


Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said last Friday that he expects interest rates to continue slowly and steadily, and the central bank hopes to find the right way between promoting growth and controlling excessive behavior. Powell stated that there is no sign that inflation will accelerate to rise2%Above, it is this sentence that makes the dollar bulls shudder. Powell's words have just fallen, and the US dollar index is down about in the short term30Point and approximation95Gateway. And the unexpected dovish remarks made by Federal Reserve official Brad during the day have put pressure on the US dollar.


Baker Hughes, an American oil service company, last Friday(8month24day)According to published data, as of8month24During the current week, the number of active oil wells in the United States sharply decreased9Seat to860Seat, created as2016year5The largest weekly decline since the beginning of the month. More data shows that as of8month24The total number of active oil and gas drilling in the United States decreased during the current week13Sitting on1044Seat.


US Energy Information Administration(EIA)Last Wednesday(8month22day)According to the published report, as of8month17During the current week, US crude oil inventories decreased583.610000 barrels to4.084Billion barrels, market estimate for decrease149.7Ten thousand barrels.EIAData shows that the utilization rate of refinery capacity remains unchanged compared to98.1%。


The United States has restarted sanctions against Iran, which is the first round of planned sanctions. The second round of sanctions is expected to take place11Implemented at the beginning of the month. At present, the main purpose of the first round of sanctions is to restrict Iran's crude oil exports, while the second round of sanctions is to restrict Iran's energy infrastructure and crude oil export facilities, thereby increasing the risk of global energy supply shortages. Most EU companies have currently suspended trade with Iran due to concerns that US sanctions will increase. Nevertheless, China has stated that it will continue to purchase Iranian crude oil.


Personal summary of Shiming Pinjin: From the above news, we learned that last Wednesday's crude oilAPI-EIAThe data is bullish, proving that there is a shortage of crude oil inventory in the United States. Due to the shortage of crude oil inventory, oil prices are forced to rise; Secondly, the US sanctions against Iran have started to ferment in the market, and institutions have made significant purchases of long positions to boost the rise of oil prices. Finally, Powell's speech on Friday night caused the US dollar index to begin a correction, putting pressure on the US dollar index, opening up space for the upward movement of crude oil and providing some support for the downward trend of oil prices. There has also been a significant decrease in nighttime drilling data, creating a new record2016year5The largest weekly decline since the beginning of the month and the bullish drilling data have also boosted the rise of crude oil; Overall, crude oil has shown a situation of oversupply, which led to a surge in crude oil prices last Friday.

　　Next monday8.27Will crude oil continue to rise or reverse its decline? Should crude oil be bullish or bearish in the future?


Last week, oil prices fell to the bottom65.30and65.84After a certain level of support, it quickly began a rebound and skyrocketing trend, and oil prices continued to soar; Crude oil is breaking through above66.60Going to the top for a later impact67.14/67.70The suppression area, Wednesday crude oilAPI-EIAThe data is bullish, and oil prices continue to rise to test the previous high points68.47The main resistance was the rebound of crude oil on Friday, with another explosive surge in the market and the crude oil breaking through68.47The suppression has risen to69.38The high point of.


Personal opinion of Shiming Pinjin: From the strength of the crude oil rise, although this rebound has been boosted by some news, it also shows a sharp rise in the black swan cold crude oil market at the end of the week on Friday, facing institutional holdings and buying long positions. On the technical side, it shows a strong performance, and the oil price has been soaring without any signs of a pullback. Undoubtedly, it is institutional selling and Friday washing to clean up the funds of retail investors; So, Shiming Pinjin believes that crude oil will experience a short-term pullback next week to repair the technical gap in crude oil, providing guidance for the following67.70/67.14With a certain level of support, crude oil will follow a downward trend next week.


　　Opinion on the Future Market of Poetry and Tea Products in Jin Dynasty:In fact, we can fundamentally analyze the future oil prices. The recent rebound in crude oil is mainly due to the US sanctions on Iran, which has led to a shortage of global supply, and institutional concerns that the US's second sanctions on Iran's crude oil have intensified, resulting in a rebound and surge in crude oil prices. If institutional bulls believe that the upward momentum of crude oil is insufficient and sell off, then oil prices may face the risk of a waterfall like drop at any time; After all, in terms of market newsOPECThe production reduction agreement is still ongoing, and efforts are being made to increase production, resulting in an increase in domestic crude oil inventory production in the United States1010000 barrels to110010000 barrels/Today, this will undoubtedly lay a time bomb for oil prices; However, Shiming Pinjin believes that the technical aspect of oil prices facing unilateral increases has not been corrected, and there has been no effective support provided below crude oil. Relying solely on news to stimulate the rise of crude oil will be limited, and the support below crude oil cannot be established. It is difficult for oil prices to continue to rise; So Shiming Pinjin believes that oil prices have not successfully broken through the upper limit70-70.19Before the resistance is suppressed, crude oil may face the risk of a cascading drop at any time. Do not easily pursue the excess to prevent the risk of being trapped.


　　Next monday8.27Prediction of crude oil market and operational strategies


Technical analysis of crude oil: from the perspective of4From an hourly perspective, oil prices have fallen twice to64.4The formation of a double needle bottoming oil price near the US dollar has led to a rebound in oil prices. Similarly, it has emerged from five consecutive bullish periods and directly pushed oil prices to a high level, breaking through the Bollinger Bands. The weekly trend has turned positive, and it has entered an overbought area in form. The overall direction of oil prices may once again challenge the trend70The resistance of the US dollar at the integer level is important. Pay attention to the strength of the rebound. If institutions engage in strong selling to boost crude oil, crude oil may continue to explore a wave of upward pressure in the short term69.30The suppression situation, breaking through and standing firm69.30Crude oil will directly challenge the upper level70-70.19If the resistance level is not broken, it will lead to a pullback and a decline to repair the technical gap, providing support to the lower level68.40/67.70A certain level of support. Next week, in terms of operational strategy, it is recommended that Shiming Pinjin focus on buying long with a downward trend in the short term, supplemented by a high-altitude approach. Focus on the top69.30/69.68/70.19Line resistance, below68.40/67.70/67.14Support the area.


　　8.27Crude oil operation strategy:


Strategy 1: Steady rebounds upwards69.0-69.25Interval empty entry, stop loss69.60, Objective68.30By breaking through and reducing positions, we can see that67.56-67.70section;


Strategy 2: Radicals rebound68.88Short nearby, stop loss0.3USD, target0.4-0.8USD;


Strategy Three: Callback Below67.56-67.70Long without breaking the range, stop loss0.3USD, target0.3-0.6USD;


The market is constantly changing, and you can refer to the above strategies. For detailed operations, the Shiming Pinjin actual trading strategy is the main focus. In terms of operation, we hope that everyone will strictly control their stop loss and risk.

　　Can the crude oil empty order be released next week? How to get rid of the crude oil empty sheet being trapped?


Recently, someone asked me why I often write articles to solve the problem? It's actually quite simple. The article is written for people who often lose money. If an investor is rarely trapped and keeps making profits, there's no need to rely on their strategic analysis. Just continue to operate and make profits according to the original method! Since we have the habit of reading articles, it means that we sometimes even lose money! Of course, to be frank, many people in the financial market are cannon fodder and destined to be eliminated by the market! The reason is very simple, without technology, real money and silver will be invested in the market! This is like us being unarmed and daring to enter the battlefield! Ultimately, our failure is inevitable.


Shiming Pinjin believes that when it comes to placing orders, first and foremost, you should take a look at the daily trend! The second step is to observe important support and resistance points. The third step is to make decisions and decide whether to lock in the position, stop loss, or backhand, as well as whether to hold on to it! If your order is against the trend, then you can simply set a stop loss at an important point. If you break through, stop loss firmly and take a backhand! I really don't want to lose. If you have the courage, you can double the order and make a profit from the floating loss on the book.


For the point where short orders are trapped after the surge in crude oil, Shiming Pinjin believes that67.80-67.56Interval and66.60-67.0Short orders in the range: Relatively speaking, last Friday's crude oil closed at68.50Nearby,67.80-67.56The empty sheet covers in the interval are not very deep, and it is relatively easy to unwind. Shiming Pinjin suggests paying attention to the rebound of crude oil next Monday68.88-69.0The suppression of the range, not breaking through this range to increase positions and lift the average price at high altitudes for unwinding; On the contrary, crude oil callback68.0Reduce positions nearby and exit. that66.60-67.0This is not the case when it comes to unpacking empty orders, as the nesting points are deeper. First, pay attention to the lower part67.56-67.70Support strength, callback falls below68.0Suggest filling empty positions, take a look first67.56The support, let's take a look again67.14To get out of the game with the support of the game; If oil prices continue to rebound and rise after a correction, pay attention first67.70Whether it falls below, if it doesn't fall below, lock in more, if it's low66.60-67.0Reduce positions on short orders in the interval, and then pay attention to the above68.88and/69.30To suppress the resistance and take long positions, we need to increase our position and wait for the market correction to resolve short positions. I hope that every time Shiming Pinjin writes about unlocking points, it can help everyone. If there are friends who need to unlock other points of crude oil empty sheets, you can find Shiming Pinjin for help.

Author's message:


Perhaps you are feeling very confused now, perhaps you are looking for identical articles, perhaps you are already disappointed in this market, but please believe that at least you still have me! Shiming Pinjin dare not say that she is a clear stream in this industry, but she is definitely the most responsible teacher.


Online articles usually have timeliness, and if you miss a point, do not pursue and control risks. There are often market opportunities, so it is better to miss them than to make mistakes!


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