Fanghua Lunjin:8.23晚间初请利空不跌反涨,后市黄金如何布局

　
Thursday Beijing Time（8month23In the early morning of the day2Point, the highly anticipated Federal Reserve8The monthly meeting minutes were unveiled as scheduled. The minutes show that if the data continues to support the current expected US economic outlook, another rate hike will soon come. Federal Reserve officials unanimously believe that trade policies and trade disputes are important sources of economic risk.

　　由本次纪要可见，委.The employees have little objection to further gradual interest rate hikes. The committee members believe that interest rates are approaching the expected neutral level, and continuing to gradually raise interest rates will help the economy get on track. Many committee members.I think it is appropriate to raise interest rates again. Many members have pointed out that in the "not too distant future", it may be appropriate to no longer use the term "loose" when talking about monetary policy stance. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has hinted that there will be discussions on the balance sheet in the autumn.

　　中美贸易摩擦迎来缓和？gold市场反转机会到来

　　近期中美局势依然值得重点关注。上周中.country.merchant.The Ministry of Commerce stated that at the invitation of the United States.Service.Wang Shouwen, Deputy Minister of the Ministry and Deputy Representative for International Trade Negotiations, plans to8In the latter half of the month, I will lead a delegation to visit the United States and hold consultations with the US delegation led by Vice Secretary of the Treasury Marcus on the economic and trade issues of mutual concern between China and the United States. The Chinese side welcomes dialogue and communication on the basis of equality, equality, and integrity. According to Sina's report, the talks will take place8month22Solstice23日举行。这表明双方都在努力避免使这场针锋相对的贸易纠纷问题伤害两国关系、动摇全球市场，全球市场有望恢复稳

　　个人认为：虽然当前因为中美再一次谈判而导致贸易风险降低。但是对于这个事，各位还是要考虑到连贯性。如果是贸易对抗以来第一次谈判，这绝对可以大幅缓解以及降低市场风险情绪。但是这不是第一次，前车之鉴，之前中美就已经发起过谈判，事后不但没有和谈反而还让中美局势变增。市场当前也不会因为他们一句谈判就过于降低风险情绪。所以当下虽然美元缺少进一步上涨的动力，但是因为贸易风险情绪的支撑依旧存在。在芳华看来，黄金短线出现快速反弹，是因为美元的大肆回调，并且黄金跌的太快从而出现技术性反弹因此，芳华对于本周的行情依旧延续看空思路，多单还需谨慎操作。在这里在提醒大家一句，大家千万不要盲目抄底。

　　====国际黄金行情分析====

　　黄金技术面上来看，金价触及1200After the first line, the market fell and adjusted in the short term, but the overall trend continued to fluctuate upwards. The US dollar index briefly fell below during the day95At the critical moment, the US dollar is still held95Running nearby; The fluctuation and decline of the US dollar provide impetus for the upward movement of gold prices; The gold technical indicators continue to extend to positive regions,MACDThe golden cross below the zero axis5The daily moving average has shifted from falling to rising, indicating that there may still be room for gold prices to rise. On the daily chart, gold prices show a significant short-term recoveryVThe market has not yet broken through the key pressure level above, so the real reversal of the market has not been achieved; Since the gold price fell below the middle track of the Bollinger Band, the market has rebounded multiple times and continued to decline after encountering obstacles near the middle track pressure level. Therefore, until the market recovers from the middle track pressure level, short-term gains can only be seen as oversold rebounds, rather than long reversals; However, the short-term market continues to fluctuate upwards, and there is room for further rebound and correction in the short-term market. The upward pressure level is within the daily Bollinger Bands and the medium track pressure1204Near.

　　4小时探高收低十字K线，尾盘没能收高。而今日开盘开在了低位，与周初的反弹结构不同。周初是美盘回落，尾盘至隔日都能收复并且开盘在高位，隔日亚欧盘就刷新新高，今日有承压走回调修正的迹象，只是向下修正的空间仍然不确定。能确定的是，亚盘缺少刷新新高的力度。偏向回踩确认支撑。至少回踩深度得结合形态的转换。若是回调深一点，不排除回吐周内涨幅，回补周初缺口后，明天周线收官再收起。故今天多单的点位要调低一些。支撑在1183-1185Resistance1198.

　　====Gold operation suggestions====

Empty order strategy:

Gold rebound1194-1196Short nearby, stop loss4Points, target1186-1188Near.

Multiple order strategy:

Gold Callback1186-1184Long nearby, stop loss4Points, target1192-1194

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