大庆论金：原油周评 8.19原油开盘策略参考

crude oil方面，近期主导油价的主要因素是土耳其危机。在土美关系恶化的情况下，美元强势走高令油价承压，此外，土耳其危机牵连新兴经济体，市场担忧若新兴市场经济受影响放缓，势必会抑制全球原油需求，从而进一步打压油价。原油价格本周内同样是先跌后涨，盘中自68关口开始下探，最低接近64.4附近，周尾盘中企稳反弹，周线方面录得带有下影线不算长的阴柱，维持三连阴排列，短期均线拐头下探，短周期指标下行势能虽在放缓，但并未看到反转迹象，周线方面还是空头占优。日线上，隔日价反弹后收于65.9附近，各周期均线仍呈空头排列，短周期指标则拐头上扬，与之K线发展配合到位，因此日线上我认为还有一定上涨空间。

本周内油价波幅不算太大，一跌一涨后让趋势变得不够明朗，不过周尾时段的反弹还是确认下行中支撑的有效，本来市场也是维持震荡区域内，下方支撑64Upper resistance67，运行区间愈发收窄。分析师大庆认为，美原油价在本周收涨背景下，多头会进一步走高，67-67.5仍是多头所触及的目标，至少现在来看下行并无空间上的优势，至于67能否突破或站稳只能视盘中进一步的技术形态发展来判定。

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