Ling Zhi Lun Jin8.15早评黄金原油“喋喋不休”，后市如何操作

There are choices everywhere in life, and choices are also faced everywhere. When you enter the supermarket and face a dazzling array of products, you can't buy everything. You always choose based on what you want; When faced with a long and short choice, it is always difficult to choose because there is no right or wrong answer to this question, because no matter which one you choose, it may make you regret it; When faced with critical decisions time and time again, one must think twice before making a choice,
Because we always want to choose the right one, how do we choose the right one? As the saying goes, if you don't think twice, you will eventually fail, and if you can endure a hundred times, you will have no worries. One person calculates the short, two people calculate the long, and those in charge are confused, while those on the sidelines are clear. Perhaps you are highly skilled, but have never been able to grasp the expected benefits. Have you ever thought about needing a partner to help you plan and strategize, and a "bystander" to help you get out of your way!

Tuesday(8month14day)In the Asian market, spotgold温和反弹，但整体仍承压于1200美元大关下方。受美元指数强劲以及避险降温影响，黄金周一大跌，跌幅一度达到20美元并依据击穿了1200美元支撑。如果金价在未来两个交易日无法重返1200美元上方的话，那么进一步回落的概率将加大。
　　黄金：黄金早盘跌势暂缓，现整于1年半以来低位附近，随着避险情绪降温，金价承压跌破1200整数关。黄金目前处于震荡下行通道中。下方初步初步支撑位于1182Near the US dollar, the location is2016year12month16日以来这波上涨趋势的25%百分比位。上行方面，初步阻力位于1197Around the US dollar.

　　4小时图显示，黄金盘中小幅反弹，但是金价整体反弹的动能较弱。技术指标目前走势也较为疲软。MA均线处于加速回落状态，且MACD也处于消极区域。此外，云图下行云也正持续下跌，这暗示金价短线将继续承压，不过，目前KD指标已经处于超卖水平，因此需警惕金价技术性回调。预计，金价反弹将首先受阻于23.6%回撤位在1297美元附近的阻力，升破该水平金价有望再度测试1200美元整数关。
　　综合分析，美联储在加息预期下持续发酵，利好美指继续走强，这将继续对黄金形成空头压制，黄金阶段性反弹，弱势状态不改。上方需要关注1205/1210First line, follow below1185/1180frontline.
　　1Suggest using1202-1204附近考虑做空，目标看1195Near USD, stop loss4USD,
Monday（8month13日），欧佩克公布的7monthcrude oil报告显示，该组织7Increase in monthly crude oil production410000 barrels/Solstice3232.310000 barrels/Day,6Monthly correction to3228.3万桶。此外，欧佩克下调了欧佩克和全球的需求增速，而且还上调了供应增速的预期。原油供应的增加暂时缓解了市场对供应面的担忧，但国际能源署（IEA）在上周曾警告称，美国对伊朗的制裁，以及其他地区的产量问题，将令全球原油供应面临挑战，同时可能还会冲击各国的空闲产能储备。这可能会在今年晚些时候促使油价走高，影响需求增速。

​　　4小时来看，油价有反弹的迹象，震荡偏多。但是浪形结构上来看，直接继续上升的空间毕竟还是有限，对于近期的原油来说，并没有一定的延续性，不管是上涨或者下跌也好，油价始终无法取得有效的连续，近期油价多空反复的行情一直存在。K线弯头下挫至65.7一线会弯头收阳，均线KDJ都有金叉上行的迹象，可见晚间经历了空头放量后，原油会有阶段性的反弹需求；小时级别上看，K线下行至65.7一线遇阻收养，均线KDJ有金叉继续向上发散的趋势，MACD绿色动能缩量运行，可将原油会有反弹表现，上方突破67.9一线阻力将继续打开上方空间。
　　1Suggest using67.20Multiple entry nearby, target68.50Stop loss0.4
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