初请利空黄金冲高回落 想上涨还要区间震荡

　　【市场资讯】


　　gold目前的反弹势头依旧较为疲软，市场对做多的观点依旧较为谨慎。虽周三市场对于特朗普宣称的下一季度美国GDP可能录得超过5%有所怀疑。但此前美国财长努钦曾表示未来4-5年，美国经济处于一个可以维持3%GDP增速的时期。这也从侧面说明，虽然5%增速不太可能，但维持一个加息的基础上，还是可以的，故此，对于金价的影响其实也是有利空的。


　　另外，里奇蒙德联储主席巴尔金隔夜发表偏鹰派讲话。指出，目前利率还没回到正常水平，美联储应该继续加息，利率需要上调到什么水平是由经济增速决定，虽未能对金价产生压力，但在没有利多的情况下，这种言论无疑也是一种压力的存在。


　　综合来看由于市场仍缺乏推动黄金走高的因素，加上技术面的最明显，跌势也完好。故此，在需求季节性缓慢的8月份时期，预计黄金价格将在8月份仍将保持“低迷”的状态。如守住千二关口，下月将会展开反弹。预计在9monthFOMC会议之后，美联储将在今年第三次加息以及季节性需求来临，黄金价格将会开始反转。


　　Gold Trend Analysis


　　首先，黄金今年的下跌并非垂直型下跌，不属于极弱形态，而是一种震荡下跌的模式，区间震荡支撑点1207，压制点1216，对震荡的操作通常情况下就是高抛低吸，同时一但压制或者支撑被突破再做跟随布局即可；


　　就日线大级别来看的话，日线下跌的节奏和形态走的差不多了，4Months160美金跌幅，而且从1211reach1235之后，行情就陷入了空头放缓的阶段，阳线数量明显增加。简单说，最近的行情出现日线级别的反弹行情合情合理，但是中期来说变盘或者反转并不能确认。真要考虑反转依次突破1224，1235的话再说，不然短期的反弹或许是后市继续放空的机会。


　　今日的重点压力在1216-1218附近，如果突破防止周四周五震荡走高1222-1224再回落，毕竟周线5日均线压力首次触及可空，而且日线并不看好持续连阳形态，当然如果今日亚欧盘持续承压不破1216-1218，那么美盘可考虑在16-18下方放空。大方向上不管是短期直接下破还是短线反弹后再下破，大方向空头节奏不变。操作建仓把握不准可连线笔者易萧品金，有套了单的朋友可转接本人官.tinyyxpj08，由于笔者不知道你们套了单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解开套策略，需要解开套的可单线易萧品金。


　        Golden Operation Suggestions


　　1、1215-16Empty order entry, stop loss1220, Objective1207Nearby;


　　2、1207-08Multiple orders entering, stop loss1204, Objective1215Nearby;


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Investment is a long-term strategy, not overnight, so it should not be rushed. Even if you lose money now, there's nothing to be afraid of. As long as you make the right choice, what you lose will come back. Smart people always go together, seize the opportunity to make orders and grasp the market trends, in order to win all battles. Whether we succeed or fail, we all understand that life requires a good mindset. The progress and progress of life, as well as the quality of life, sometimes depend on our mindset. Effort is an outcome, and giving up is also an outcome. Just different moods, with different results, your smiling sky is blue, and your crying sky is cloudy. Learning to invest requires a good mindset. To live a good life, you need a good mindset, which sometimes determines the success or failure of your investment


　　The author Yi Xiaopinjin focuses on studying the international economic situation, and investment should be more in line with the trend. Trading in precious metals (gold and silver),crude oil（WTI）Investment,foreign exchangeInvestment friends who are interested in products such as stocks can follow the company for details.Public.ID: Yi Xiaopinjin, welcome to exchange and learn together! Investment carries risks and caution is necessary when entering the market. Yi Xiao suggests that everyone enter the market with a reasonable position to grasp.


Wen/Yi Xiao (Director WeChat:yxpj08Written by Yi Xiaopinjin, public account