诗茗品金：是什么原因使黄金屡屡冲高回落?

　　历史总是惊人的相似，昨日行情的冲高回落，在近期多次上演，这是空头格局的体现，说明趋势上还没有出现逆转，短线上偏于震荡整理。多头在形态上虽然跃跃欲试，但无奈力量始终不够充足。美伊的紧张局势也未能带动多头的上破，每次的冲高都带有相对幅度的回落，其根本原因还是在于美元的强势，压制着gold的反弹。而美元多次上攻95.5附近无功而返，这已是近一个月以来第四次回落了，这次的回落是和往常一样短线的回调，还是多头力衰呢？

　　美元指数目前陷入回调模式，周二美指一度跌破95整数关但随后快速收复该水平。本交易日美国经济数据整体较为清淡，美元走势更偏向技术面。美指目前仍有进一步走低的趋势，下方关键支撑位于94.80-90区间，如果跌破该水平的话，美元可能会进一步下探至94.50水平附近，该位置为6month14日来的上升趋势线支撑。上行方面，投资者需继续关注95.50-65区间阻力，受阻于该水平，美元将继续保持高位震荡。美元指数目前陷入回调模式，周二美指一度跌破95整数关但随后快速收复该水平。本交易日美国经济数据整体较为清淡，美元走势更偏向技术面。美指目前仍有进一步走低的趋势，下方关键支撑位于94.80-90区间，如果跌破该水平的话，美元可能会进一步下探至94.50水平附近，该位置为6month14日来的上升趋势线支撑。上行方面，投资者需继续关注95.50附近阻力，受阻于该水平，美元将继续保持高位震荡。


　　从技术面来看，以日线结构来看，日K线连续阴阳交错，表明行情主体结构尚未启动反弹，依旧属于震荡行情。此外目前日均线空头排列，行情持续滞压于10日线下方，也对反弹动作构成一定的制约。不过日线指标一直存有底部背离的预期，且下方存在趋势支撑线的强支撑，行情也具备反弹的形态特征。四小时级别即使昨日晚间的回落也没有带动MACD的死叉，在我的预期范围之内，目前K线站稳布林带中轨支撑，而且均线金叉，MACD金叉，红色能量柱继续放量，所以目前四小时级别偏向多头。


　　昨日虽冲高后短线下挫并短暂跌破下方各均线支撑，但持续时间不长受支撑继续震荡反弹，早间开盘后延续反弹，金价再度突破站上小周期均线，目前金价突破站稳MA30Follow aboveMA60阻力。指标上KDJ当前保持开口向上发散的趋势，暂时未有钝化平缓迹象，预计上方还有一定反弹上行空间，MACD红色动能柱继续放量中，0轴下方快慢线自金叉出现后保持开口向上发散，虽然开口幅度不大，但也让颓势的多头带来一丝曙光，综合来看短期黄金将继续维持低位震荡整理，上方关注1220/1216一线，日内操作上继续以低多为主高空为辅的策略。

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Golden Strategy:


　　1210Long nearby, stop loss1206, Objective1218-20；


　　1218Short selling, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1210-12


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