Poetry, tea, and gold:8.7美指走高黄金涨势难再续，原油避险上升！

The most important thing about investing is to do it as soon as you reach the right spot! If you don't reach the right spot, you'll see. Success doesn't rely on luck, choice is greater than effort! I hope that the articles on poetry, tea, and gold can bring you valuable insights. If you need to learn more about investment, trading techniques, operational skills, andK线等知识可以与本人进行交流、沟通

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　　===goldmarket analysis===


　　此前，美国劳工部公布6monthCPIYoY2.9%, creating2012year2月来最大增幅。核心CPIYear-on-year increase2.3%, for2017year1月以来最大升幅。这表明了美国的通胀水平正处于稳步攀升状态。这很符合美国当前经济强劲的表现，符合诗茗品金看好美元的依据；另外，能够较为准确反应通胀水平的PCE物价指数在5月份已达到2%，这是美联储重要参考目标，并且美联储也多次重申要渐进式加息。


　　今年以来，美国的通胀水平处于快速上升之中。如果6monthCPI数据向好，这或加强美联储9Month and12月加息预期，美元有望继续走强，金银还将遭受打压。


　　===Analysis of Gold Technology===


　　日图布林带三轨朝下缩口运行，KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Below the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located below the zero axis and are in a bonded state. They move to the right and show a neutral performance in terms of indicators,KDJ三线拐头朝下缩口欲有交金叉之势，日线行情整体呈空头但下行趋势放缓。


　　4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs with three tracks facing downwards and shrinking,MA5均线呈金叉拐头朝下运行，KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks of Bollinger,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方交金叉缓和上行红色动能有所缩量，KDJ三线拐头朝下欲交死叉下行，金价短线有一定下行势能。综合来看，虽说上周的美国非农数据利空但依旧未打破黄金的低位震荡局面，行情依旧表现弱势形态，那么我们操作上就顺势操作为主，金价在反弹至1218一线后回落，目前交投于1209一线，日间操作上诗茗品金建议以区间偏空对待，重点关注1218-1206Interval operation.


　　Suggestions for Gold Operations:


　　1Rebound1216Near empty, stop loss1219, Objective1215-1208；破位持有；


　　2Falling back without breaking1207附近短多，止损1204, Objective1212-1214；

　　===crude oilmarket analysis===


　　伊军方的军事演习，给市场带来了担忧，如果伊封锁霍尔木兹海峡（世界贸易必经之地），那么中东产油国的原油出口量将受到极大影响，全球油市供给都将出现危机。


　　由于美伊局势目前愈演愈烈，双方持续爆发新言论，引发了市场深深的担忧。伊面对美的各种威胁不但不惧怕，还直面回击，甚至美陆续提出的谈.判，伊也多次回绝，拒绝了美想要谈判的想法。并且中拒绝了美减少从伊朗进口的要求，市场也意识到要完全阻断伊石油出口看似不太可能


　　===Technical analysis of crude oil===


　　从技术面来看，上周初日线收线大阳上破70大关后，已经连续两个交易日收阴，但是就提到过近期原油日线阴阳交替循环，短线多空仍存在悬念。就这两个交易日空头的表现来说，的确很强，但是只能看作回调调整，不能看成反转信号。4小时上，短周期均线金叉向上给予多头支撑，短线上价格又进一步反弹的迹象。上周五直接反抽蓄势完成破高续量，空间和量能得到延续，4小时震荡看多。


　　虽然目前原油在结构上依然属于上行状态，但是近期原油持续挑战下降趋势线接连失败，多头强势无疑。夏.守.鑫个人认为只要油价再度站上70一线上方，那么油价将再度引来阶段性的上涨。综合来看，今日操作思路上诗茗品金个人建议低多为主，短线操作上重点关注上方69.8Line resistance, below67.8一线支撑。破70顺势追多，先看70.5frontline.


　　Suggestions for crude oil operation:


　　1Above not broken69.8Near empty, stop loss70.2, Objective69.3-68.7；


　　2Falling back68.2Nearby, stop loss67.8, Objective69.5-69.8，破位在做安排；

　　诗茗品金解套策略：


　　1Long term unwinding. Investors who have identified a major trend (such as a bullish market) and placed their orders in a minor trend (a downward trend in the market) can first stop losing and then enter at a lower price to earn a price difference. This can also earn profits from the major trend and reduce the risk of short positions caused by the minor trend.


　　2Short line unwinding. If investors make a complete mistake in their judgment of the market, they should decisively close their positions to avoid further unilateral price fluctuations and greater losses. The longer short-term investors hold in a unilateral market, the greater the losses they will incur.


　　3Light position unwinding (also applicable to investors with large funds). That is, as the decline in the price increases, it increases the buying price and uses idle funds to lower costs, waiting for the price to rebound. Its advantage is that no matter how deep it is nested, as long as it is operated properly, it can be unlocked once there is a rebound.


　　4, band unpacking. This method is suitable for various market stages of hedging, especially for volatile markets, mainly relying on data fluctuations and utilizing price differences to unwind. The concept of this method is to buy low and sell high, sell high and buy low, gradually reducing costs and reducing losses. Its advantage lies in the variety of operating techniques, which are not limited to a single pattern, actively attacking, and if operated properly, the release speed is fast. The disadvantage lies in the high demand for personal time, energy, and ability, frequent operation with certain cost pressure, and improper operation can easily cause greater losses. We need professional knowledge and guidance with time, energy, and skills.

Emphasis: Lastly, I would like to say one thing: a desire for recognition, without distinguishing between industries. Speaking with strength is more commendable. Don't let my kindness turn into the treatment you deserve. This only applies to your parents. The premise of fairness is equality. If you are still in a state of confusion, then no matter how much you do, it is just a worry of repeating without a sense of security. I don't know if I can give you warmth, but I think I can help you gain a sense of security. Perhaps I am not the most skilled analyst, but I have always upheld integrity and responsibility as a person, which is also something I have always adhered to and my original intention throughout my career. Of course, this initial intention and integrity require time to settle


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