黄金方面,黄金本周四大幅触底反弹并录得较长的下影线,但是目前还不能确定黄金已经筑底。MAThe moving average shows no signs of stopping its decline, and the overall trend remains bearishMACDThe action capability is still relatively strong at present. However,RSI自超买水平反弹,投资者也需要警惕金价的逆转风险。4小时图显示,金价在录得看涨十字之后大幅反弹,但随后受阻于20周期均线,MACD有零轴之下金叉的趋势,金价短线或倾向继续反弹。不过,均线的整体走势依旧倾向看跌,因此料金价的反弹空间或有限。
本周五黄金迎来了有效的获利回吐,整体亚盘走了一波过山车,最低触及1215Highest in the evening1232附近,日线有底部反转的迹象;四小时上5Daily moving average penetration10The daily moving average shows a golden cross, but continues to extend upwards, and the gold price has already reached the middle band of the Bollinger Bands1224Frontline support,MACDThe golden cross of the indicator extends upwards,RSI指标表现良好,多头势能强劲。下周预计黄金还会延续上涨,不过从周五整体表现来看,整体动能不是太强,所以上方1232一线依旧会是主要的压制,如果能够突破则再看1236-1238的回补,拿下此缺口位,黄金方能有望进行中线级别的反弹。综合来看,下周一短线操作上猎金大师个人建议以回调做多为主,上方重点关注1236-38One line of resistance, pay attention below1224-26Frontline support. crude oilNext week's market trend analysis:
原油方面,昨日原油开盘在68.98,经过震荡偏弱的走势,在欧盘时段68.78位,空头发力。逐步走低,最低打到67.79一线,随后企稳反弹,在68.25附近经历短暂的震荡。在美盘多头再次发力,直线拉升,直接打到70.15一线后回调,震荡走跌最后收线在69.45一线。从日线级别看布林带缩口向右,油价运行在中下轨,均线空头排列,5日均线运行在kBelow the line.macd面看快慢线高位死叉下行,绿色动能柱逐步放量,kdj面三线运行在底部超卖区域,向上交织后,快线拐头向右。从4小时级别看,布林带缩口向下,油价运行在中上轨,均线交叉运行在kBelow the line.macd面快慢线底部金叉向上发散,红色动能柱放量减弱,kdj面三线高位死叉下行,整体表现偏弱。
综合来看猎金大师个人认为虽然沙特的一番表态给油价带来支撑,但美元的走强给油价带来压力。另外,据路透报道,挪威工人已经停止罢、工,工会与工人已达成协议,这缓解了市场对原油供应的担忧,也令油价承压。所以下周一操作上猎金大师个人建议以反弹做空为主,上方重点关注68.7-68.9One line of resistance, pay attention below67.4-67.6Frontline support.