Wen Xi Dian Jin:7.19黄金走势，黄金原油操作分析

International Market Analysis:


7month18日美元指数窄幅震荡，基本守住了隔夜涨幅，美联储主席鲍威尔的偏鹰派讲话依然给美元提供支撑，短线偏向震荡上涨；现货gold暂时窄幅震荡，隔夜失守1236重要支撑，尽管短线还有回踩确认的可能，但中线下行风险已经进一步增加。原 油市场，利比亚供给再生事端，委内瑞拉也有供应受扰，油价跌势有所放缓，但还在留意沙特和俄罗斯的后续动作以及最新的EIAprimary 油库存数据，下行风险仍未缓解。


U.S.A6月工业产出月率录得0.6%高于预期和前值，并创下四个月最大增幅，维持第三个季度增长，这与随后22:00鲍威尔在参议院对美国经济乐观预期一致。由于鲍威尔是共和党人士且与特朗普关系密切，市场对于美联储独立性，以及贸易政策带来的风险是否会改变当前利率路径等问题十分关切。


Gold trend analysis:


After a sharp drop and breaking through yesterday's levels, gold consolidated for a short period of time in the morning session and clearly replaced adjustment with consolidation, rising1230未果后开始回落，午后再度打破昨日低点1225一线，一度逼近趋势线支撑1220关口，当前美指持续走高，连带的黄金弱势走向也比较明显，晚间仍是以看空为主，技术面上日线虽然破位下行，不过指标背离没有修复到位，短期延续性有待考量，小时线拐头依然向下，不过小周期持续横盘整理，短时间来看大跌压制之后，预计震荡整理的时间不算短，加之昨日回落1220/22未破，那么可能此位乃是一个重要支撑点！定要切记关注！


So how should we proceed today? Firstly, in the context of the previous day's downward trend breaking through the low, the primary condition for judging its strength is the continuity of the European market breaking through the bottom. Therefore, the US market will have the motivation to continue and break through the low again, otherwise it will at best be a shock. Yesterday, it was obvious that the European market broke through yesterday's low again and touched the lowest point21一线，而下方的强支撑将位于1213-15一线位置，同时此位置也是关系到整数关1200的得失，那么如后期继续下破此位置的话，下方仍有一定的延续动力。综合来看，目前黄金还是处于跌势，操作上建议还是以高空为主，低多为辅，上方关注1230-1236的压力，下方先看1220一线破位情况。


Suggestions for Gold Operations:


1Suggest a fallback1220-1222分批做多，止损默认，目标看1230/1232frontline;


2Suggest a rebound1232-1230分批做空，止损默认，目标看1222/1220frontline.


primary 油走势分析：


primary 油日线级别上，当前BOLL带呈开口向下的态势放量运行，k线运行在中轨下方。在上个交易日中crude oil上方最高运行至68.44附近，下方最低运行至67.03附近，于67.61附近收盘。收取了一根带有较长上下影线的实体阴柱k线形态结束一天的行情走势。当前均线指标呈空头趋势持续放量运行。MACD绿色动能柱增强下行空间0轴上方的死叉持续向下放量运行。RSIandKDJ处于低位略显的拐头向上发散放量。


4The hourly break continues with two waves of downward adjustment. Of course, the current decline is treated as an adjustment, not a trend, but a correction in the upward trend. The space is relatively larger, after all4Hour level adjustment space. along with69.20的破位，此位转换成今天的阻力，反弹今天围绕此位之下承压继续看下跌。但是昨天大阴空间依旧释放比较大。今天还是惯性下跌后继续会低位震荡，价格下跌的过快。指标跟不上下行速度，大阴线之后容易停顿震荡，故今天短线还是反弹空。所以原/油短期上方重点关注69One line of resistance, pay attention below67.5Frontline support, break through and continue to focus below67.0Supported by the checkpoint, Wen Xi's personal suggestion for today's operation is to continue to rebound from high altitude.


primary 油操作建议：


1Callback67.7-67.3Nearby, stop loss67.2, Objective68.3-68.8。


2、盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以文夕点金实盘为准！
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writing/Wen Xi Dian Jin