消息面:非农就业人口前值22.3, expected19.5, published value21.3,利空gold。失业率前值3.8%, expected3.8%, published value4%,小幅利多黄金。总体而言,非农影响不大,利好利空都有,总体偏空。报告出炉后,现货金银冲高回落,美元短线下挫。
黄金走势分析:昨日黄金整体波动不大,价格整体上位于1251-58区间进行盘整,日线最终以锤子形态的小阳线报收。今日属于早间下跌行情,但是早间下跌之后欧盘并没有延续,反而是继续于日内的波动区间内部进行盘整,而这种形态还是属于明显的震荡格局。晚间万众瞩目的大非农公布了,数据利空金银,不过6月失业率利多金银,黄金短线冲高1258附近后回落低位,整体波幅也是有限。单从技术面来看,日K线连阴,MACD在零轴上方背离死叉向下,说明价格短期还有进一步向下的空间。4小时来看,昨日金价延续上行,但多次在1261一线受到压制,同时1261也是昨日布林带上轨所在位置,说明上方存在一定的阻力,不过目前布林带上轨已经向上移开口运行,中轨位于1250位置与30日均线重合,形成关注支撑,5/10日均线维持金叉发散,不过面临势能匮乏的现象,macdDouble track operation to maintain the upward trend of the golden cross, currently the express line has broken through0轴,红柱能放量运行,sto双线在死叉运行超买区一段时间后,再度下行靠近50轴,目前快线有所放缓,不过sto双线相距较近随时可能构建成金叉,综合来看,4小时各期指标存在回撤调整后仍有上涨的可能。
黄金价格从1238的低点开始反弹,经过两次上探1260不破后震荡回落。一小时周期有可能会走出变形性的头肩底形态,当前正准备构筑右肩底部,所以前期低点1248-1250区间成为今天的多空分水岭。如果此支撑有效,那么右肩可能成型,后市还会继续上涨;反之,如果此支撑被有效跌破,后市可能会继续探新低。尾盘重点关注下方1250Frontline support, attention from above1260-1262一线阻力。添加笔者玉琪论金WeiXinnumber(zyq1970622)Daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout are all included. like-minded individuals are welcome to come and have a long conversation!
What to do with a golden multi sheet duvet cover:1On1265-1270的多单,玉琪论金预计行情会走一波反弹,仓位较轻的朋友建议大家可在1252Fill in multiple orders at the top position and enter the market after lowering the average price1260Nearby elimination, in order to achieve a solution.
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