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Deng Xinyuan:7.6Analysis of the latest trend of gold due to non agricultural attacks

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Beijing Time7month6Early morning of02:00, the Federal Reserve will announce6月的利率决议纪要,虽纪要内容通常和声明一致,但措辞上的改变或引起市场重视。在6月的利率声明中,美联储如期加息25个基点,对通胀和利率路径评估整体较为乐观,美联储年内加息四次的概率激增。不过,随后美联储主席鲍威尔措辞鹰鸽不定,一方面鲍威尔在肯定移除“宽松”的加息措辞,但同时也认为加息步伐不应过快,这使得金银在历经大跌走势之后,一度强势反弹。在金价三日连阳的走势下,gold是否还能继续走高的趋势,我们拭目以待!
  
Gold market analysis:
  
  从日线图上看,昨日黄金继续反弹收阳,近期日线金价三日连阳,目前整体上还是表现一定多头形态。盘面来看,金价虽然具备一定回调的动能,但是黄金反抽的关键压力在1272-1262-1258,这是黄金跌破前期低点之后的一个顶底转换位,近期分水岭位置,这一点是比较明确的。只有突破多头才能继续上涨。
  
From4小时图上看,黄金已经突破了趋势线的压力位置,打破了前期持续弱势下行的格局,短期而言,多头已经占据了上风。同时5Daily moving average10日均线带动布林带上轨开口,行情还有进一步上涨空间,早间的快速拉升不易追多等回调后在跟进,支撑关注1252一线,价格目前位于1257一线,未能给出回调的迹象,但行情需要耐心等待,不要贪功冒进。此次回撤能够走到此位置,那必将是多头再次开启的一次布局;综合近期走势来看,上方重点关注1264-1267阻力位,下方重点关注1252-1254一线支撑,日内操作上建议以回调做多为主,高空为辅。
  
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Suggest using1252-1254Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1262.
  
  2Suggest using1267上方空单进场,止损4USD, target1258nearby.
  
Wen/邓鑫缘(指导Vcore;dxyAdd7189)
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