Shan Chenjin:7.4黄金暴力反弹空单被套怎么办？后市行情怎么操作？

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Shan Chenjin:7.4gold暴力反弹空单被套怎么办？后市行情怎么操作？


昨日黄金多头终于迎来扬眉吐气的一天。日内金价呈现深V反弹之势，美元大幅走软给金价提供支撑。除了这个原因外中国央行接连喊话稳汇率，人民币上演逆转，而这也在很大程度上成为推动金价反弹的“大功臣”。

在过去一段时间，强势美元一直黄金多头的一个“大麻烦”。美元走软给金价提供支撑。在我个人来看，美元多头相当于已经枯竭了，美元买盘也面临着获利了结，这也意味着美元将迎来大回调。与美元呈对立的黄金，也就相对的获得了上涨动力。当然，如果非农数据公布利多的话，那么黄金无疑是上涨动力充足。同样也肯定会吸引众多买盘进场来推涨黄金，在黄金如此大跌的情况下，黄金本身就是一个弹簧般，反弹力度很足，非农无疑就是一个契机。一旦底部确认成立接下来就是一波反弹的时候，上方有足够的利润空间这波行情我们肯定不会错过。虽然经过昨天的一波拉升，但黄金弱势格局依然没变，如果就此判断底部出现，显得太武断，也没有可信的说服力，所以我觉得我们还是需要通过几天的观察才能更好的下结论。


昨日我们的空单布局之后，盘面价格接连上穿1247，1250压制，冲高1255一线，空单打损，盘面价格突破下行通道，空单布局失败。这里明显我们低估了1236前低附近的支撑作用，在下跌行情中极容易出现双底支撑，上升行情中极容易出现双顶阻力。那么为什么我们会在这个位置出现判断性失误？这里就是慢跌和快跌区别，如果早间直接快速触及1236一线必然是让大家去参与个多单抓双底。而慢跌和快跌就有着明显的区别，慢跌是极容易破低，所以我们选择了跟随。总的来讲昨日盘面的布局比较失败：一方面忽视了1236前低的支撑作用，一方面低估了整个反弹力度。


黄金周二的上升加上周初的下跌，整体上看走出V型反转形态；那么现在市场都有疑问，黄金现在是筑底了吗？这波反弹是否可以延续呢?后面应该怎么操作呢？


黄金价格隔夜企稳反弹终于收复1250关口，金价重返1250美元关口对多头是极大的鼓舞，金价看上去有望进一步复苏；但金价要恢复涨势还需突破1260的大关，并且连续收阳。若金价能够在本周继续上涨并在周五收于高位，这可能是重拾升势的信号，目前的市场价位可能就是近期金价的底部。上方即时阻力位关注1260关口，进一步上看1270一线；支撑方面，首先关注1250Gateway and1240Gateway.


技术面上看，隔夜金价强势反弹后站稳1250关口，短线还有继续反弹修正的迹象；日线图上，金价目前已经站稳5日均线支撑，下一步关注上方10日均线的破位企稳情况；只有站稳10日均线，后市预计还有继续上行的可能。短线4小时图上看，金价目前站稳布林带中轨支撑，短期上行目标看到上轨阻力1260附近；布林带持平运行。


作为日内而言，日线依托前期的绝对低点形成连阳反抽的局面，日线收盘无较大回撤，但从趋势而言，当前还是单阳模式，弱势中的单阳并不可怕，当今日一定需要注意谨防连阳。连阳的关键在于日内走强，一但日内再度走强，那么注意晚间还要加速上升，这也是今日的重点所在。当然美盘前暂时维持区间的观点，短周期虽然上升，但整体还是回撤，日内暂时震荡对待。操作上关注1259-1260，触及可以短空操作，以1261.5为界限，破位出局，下方目标看1252附近，另外关注欧盘5点前的强弱，今日主要还是看欧盘前的表现，欧盘上升无回撤，美盘前则需要多，而一但欧盘回撤，那么晚间继续震荡对待，这也是今日的整体操作思路。


How to correctly stop loss in spot investment?


As is well known, investment involves both returns and risks, so there is a possibility of losses during the trading process. In order to better control risks and reduce losses, investors need to learn to take stop loss measures. So, how to correctly stop losses in spot precious metal investments?


1Treat stop loss with a calm attitude


Stop loss is one of the main measures for precious metal investors to manage risks. From an operational perspective, although investors have no errors in their thinking and principles, the execution results of anything are probabilistic and difficult to guarantee 100% accuracy. Secondly, the establishment of the stop loss principle also needs to be continuously improved, and corresponding measures should be taken according to different situations. Therefore, the existence of stop loss is of great significance in the operation process, and regardless of the outcome, investors should strictly adhere to it.

2Execution of stop loss awareness


In general, investors should set a stop loss point before entering the market and immediately execute it when the actual situation matches the stop loss principle. Do not hold a lucky mentality and delay the stop loss with various excuses, as this will only cause losses to continue to expand. Therefore, investors should adhere to less thinking and more action when executing stop losses to avoid making incorrect judgments due to excessive thinking. You should know that the issuance of stop loss signals is not something that investors think of themselves, but rather a manifestation of objective facts. Therefore, it is right to firmly execute them.


3Stop loss thinking needs to be improved


As a qualified investor, stop loss should be viewed more thoroughly, because in a sense, stop loss can help everyone avoid greater losses, but it itself cannot generate profits. For investors, the success or failure of stop loss is a thing of the past. What is important is the next step. Investors must adjust their mindset in a timely manner and develop a more comprehensive and scientific investment operation plan after the stop loss, in order to improve accuracy and reduce the probability of stop loss recurrence in the next step.

学会合理分配和计划人生。不要盲目的预判自己的实力和路途的艰辛，任何时候，都要做好防备。明白合理规划的重要性。转到交易当中，很多人对自己的预判过于乐观，导致最后一败涂地。特别相信自己行情的分析，满仓操作，结果却无药可救。更有很多人，把这个市场，当作暴利市场，不断的加钱，借钱来做交易，而往往当自己认识到市场可怕的时候，回头却发现没有退路了。所以合理规划和认真自己，市场，都很重要。


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.