黄金避险失效反转需要筑底 原油疯涨不断创新高

　　International Information
　　
Friday（6month22日），欧盟宣布引入对美国产品的报复性关税，涉及的美国产品包括李维斯牛仔裤、波旁威士忌和哈雷摩托车等美国标志性产品。而特朗普随后发表推文威胁“对他们（欧洲）的汽车引入20%的关税”。gold的走势与美元休戚相关，任何未来的价格变动（不管是否进行贸易战）都将取决于美元的走势。黄金的积极因素有时会被抑制，因为最终的效果取决于美元。

　　
　　分析师易萧品金认为，欧盟峰会喜讯促进非美货币反弹承压美元，且美元在走势上有见顶迹象，上方阻力压制明显且几次突破未果，一旦美元不能持续强势，侧面将会为黄金的反弹提供支撑，黄金情绪自2016year12月以来已达到其最低的水平，但日内低点的恢复以及美元的小幅下跌令黄金走势鼓舞。易萧预计市场可能上涨至第一阻力位1288dollar/盎司，但有可能接近阻力位下行趋势线1305dollar/ounce
　　
　　Gold Technology Analysis
　　
　　黄金周五企稳1245上方，并未攻破月线M60average1245一线。而在反弹当中，黄金多头动力也并不明显，触及1255日线压制后走低。对于本周龚种浩易萧品金依旧看好一个震荡行情。下方重点关注1245Support and1236-1233支撑。上方重点关注1260关口以及斐波那契压制。月线级别也已经收官，虽收于周级的布林带中轨下方，但也是在斐波拉契支撑上方，7月如能收于在1270上方，反弹就此展开。区间就先锁定1260-1245的区间来高空低多操作即可；建仓把握不准可连线笔者，有套了单的朋友可转接本人官_tinyyxpj08，行情瞬息万变，更多实时策略盘中指导给出；

　　
　　【crude oil技术分析】
　　
　　原油月线企稳月线的10均线位置收大阳线，月线上偏向继续走强上行；周线继续收大阳上行，同时破位前期高点，周线多头再一次开启，同时目前指标上运行在低位金叉上行，指标上显示原油将会继续走强上行；操作上易萧建议还是要顺势做多；4小时图运行极端多头走势，操作上沿着趋势线继续做多上看，依托4hour10均线一路做多上看，上方关注75and76Frontline suppression, following below73一线支撑。需要进场点位或被套的朋友可以跟易萧取得连系交流！！

　　

　　拿不住盈利单，原因在哪里？
　　
　　1.对行情整体结构和框架不清晰，跟着行情跑，没有整体的预判和思路。所以并不知道行情未来发展的方向，所以行情跌了就看空，涨了就看多，思路频繁调整。简单说，就是实力不够，看不懂趋势，而且没有一个特别明确的老师指导带着，自然稍有起伏就拿不住单了。
　　
　　2.The position is too large and there is no good awareness of fund management.
　　
　　重仓，满仓做，恐怕谁都拿不住单子，除非你不在乎结果，不在乎钱，只在乎刺激的过程。学会好的风控意识，仓位控制好，建议新手操作不超过10-15%，轻仓严格止损做，谁的心态都会慢慢好。心态做好是成功投资者必备的条件，没有好的心态，想在投资市场挣钱基本是不可能的。
　　
　　3.flighty and impetuous.
　　
　　不做单，着急入场，做了单，着急出场。盯着盘面眼睛就不会动了，做了空就想行情跌，做了多就恨不得行情立马涨。所有的利润和财富都要靠时间来累计。
　　
A common misconception and phenomenon in the trading process is that during long-term consolidation of the market, everyone likes to chase up and kill down, because they are eager to create trend trends. After all, the repeated washing of the market is not easy to follow, as the strength and weakness of the long and short positions do not continue. People expect the market to break through the trend and show their skills, but often the key positions of the market are broken and do not continue, and the big positive and big negative are meaningless. Therefore, the consequences of chasing up and killing down are to go long to the highest point, short to the lowest point, and be passive everywhere. When the real trend market comes out, most traders start to guess the top and bottom again, doubting the trend and not daring to follow it. Another counter trend operation that everyone wants to eat anytime,这样的交易思路或许偶尔侥幸盈利，但多数是都是悲剧收场。
　　
　　笔者易萧品金专注研究国际经济形势，投资更要顺应趋势。对贵金属（金银）交易，原油（WTI）Investment,foreign exchangeInvestment friends who are interested in products such as stocks can follow the company for details.Public.ID: Yi Xiaopinjin, welcome to exchange and learn together! Investment carries risks and caution is necessary when entering the market. Yi Xiao suggests that everyone enter the market with a reasonable position to grasp.
　　
Wen/Yi Xiao (Director WeChat:yxpj08(Public account: Yi Xiaopinjin) Writing