易萧品金：6.29午评黄金 耐心等待中线多

　　美元强势，近期资金的流向一直都保持在美元市场中，这使gold多头遭到了强力的压制。而川普周三表示，将放弃对中国投资美国技术领域施加新限制的计划，这使得市场风险情绪回归，推升美元继续反弹，美元持续走高再度打压金价。
　　
　　贸易摩擦的问题，黄金作为避险资产的同时，被商品属性掩盖，美股大跌黄金也依旧未能从中收益，基本面方面动能的缺失，黄金难以获得上涨的信心，短期内如果基本面方面依旧没有支撑动能，那么黄金整体还是要承压修正的，最近的黄金走势是忽视了美元回调还有贸易纠纷的避险问题继续下跌，双重利好难以提振市场看涨信心，这足以证明黄金在跌破重要技术关口支撑后所面临的下行风险巨大。
　　
　　【黄金走势分析】
　　
　　从技术面来看，本周四个交易日都是以下跌为主的行情，日线四连阴，价格始终受压在5日均线下方，各周期均线以及短周期指标均呈空头排列，且盘中高点不断下移，低点不断刷新，弱势空头趋势明显，只要日线级别没站稳5Rihe10日均线情况下都是高空顺势布局，切勿逆势抄底，目前也没有任何见底的信号，也没有止跌企稳的迹象，盘面一直维持震荡阴跌的格局，慢跌中肯定会有一次加速下行。
　　
　　黄金目前维持低位盘整，避险情绪的回落加上美指走强，金价持续承压下跌，不过，黄金下行的持续动力还应该包括黄金投资的低潮。技术指标显示，RSI已经逼近超卖区域，这使得金价的看空情绪愈发明显，金价将继续承压。金价目前已经跌破了25%百分比位，日线级别处于布林带下轨处，强空头行情，下一目标位于去年的低点1240-1236USD.4小时线中性偏弱，小时线的底背离形态始终没有发挥应有的效果反而有被破坏的可能，布林线三轨延续下行，尤其是下轨没有勾头上拐迹象，表明跌势的延续性犹存，其余指标和日线一样皆处弱势没什么好过多分析的。整体来说，除非美元指数大跌，不然今日黄金将会保持弱势状态，所以操作上还是建议反弹做空为主。短线上方关注1255-1253One line of resistance, pay attention below1245一线支撑，进一步看1240关口支撑。破位顺势跟进。


投资有风险，入市需谨慎。最佳点位还是由易萧实时给出，以上仅代表个人观点，不作操作依据，据此操作盈亏自负！


　　Why can't you hold onto the profit order while I can?
　　
　　1.对行情整体结构和框架不清晰，跟着行情跑，没有整体的预判和思路。所以并不知道行情未来发展的方向，所以行情跌了就看空，涨了就看多，思路频繁调整。简单说，就是实力不够，看不懂趋势，而且没有一个特别明确的老师指导带着，自然稍有起伏就拿不住单了。
　　
　　2.The position is too large and there is no good awareness of fund management.
　　
　　重仓，满仓做，恐怕谁都拿不住单子，除非你不在乎结果，不在乎钱，只在乎刺激的过程。学会好的风控意识，仓位控制好，建议新手操作不超过10-15%，轻仓严格止损做，谁的心态都会慢慢好。心态做好是成功投资者必备的条件，没有好的心态，想在投资市场挣钱基本是不可能的。
　　
　　3.flighty and impetuous.
　　
　　不做单，着急入场，做了单，着急出场。盯着盘面眼睛就不会动了，做了空就想行情跌，做了多就恨不得行情立马涨。所有的利润和财富都要靠时间来累计。
　　
A common misconception and phenomenon in the trading process is that during long-term consolidation of the market, everyone likes to chase up and kill down, because they are eager to create trend trends. After all, the repeated washing of the market is not easy to follow, as the strength and weakness of the long and short positions do not continue. People expect the market to break through the trend and show their skills, but often the key positions of the market are broken and do not continue, and the big positive and big negative are meaningless. Therefore, the consequences of chasing up and killing down are to go long to the highest point, short to the lowest point, and be passive everywhere. When the real trend market comes out, most traders start to guess the top and bottom again, doubting the trend and not daring to follow it. Another counter trend operation that everyone wants to eat anytime,这样的交易思路或许偶尔侥幸盈利，但多数是都是悲剧收场。


　　The author Yi Xiaopinjin focuses on studying the international economic situation, and investment should be more in line with the trend. Trading in precious metals (gold and silver),crude oil（WTI）Investment,foreign exchangeInvestment friends who are interested in products such as stocks can follow the company for details.Public.ID: Yi Xiaopinjin, welcome to exchange and learn together! Investment carries risks and caution is necessary when entering the market. Yi Xiao suggests that everyone enter the market with a reasonable position to grasp.


　　writing/Yi Xiao (Director WeChat:yxpj08(Public account: Yi Xiaopinjin) Writing