黄金避险属性已经失效？跌出新低何时能够抄底?

　　International Information


    自美联储释放加息等鹰派信号后，金价就一直萎靡不振。而目前gold交易更多由技术面上的信号驱动。压低金价的基本面因素依然存在，并继续严重限制金价的涨幅。美国股市再次放大了市场风险情绪，周二收高，这与美元走强相结合，令金价承压，导致周二价格收低。后市只要美元继续走强，金价就会面临一场艰难的战斗。黄金没有成为传统的避险资产，这一事实是限制金价上涨的另一个因素。所有这些因素都在继续作用黄金，压低其价格。

　　

　　在开启一波强势的反弹后，美元指数已在年内涨逾2.8%，而上一周美联储主席鲍威尔更是发表鹰派讲话，称应该继续在经济强劲的情况下逐步加息，金价更被打压，黄金遭多方抛售。但在过度抛售的情况下，不排除空头可能会转而看涨，抢占低价买入的先机，黄金或将触底反弹。我们要做的就是等待市场给出信号，在此之前，还是应顺势而为！
　　
　　Gold Trend Analysis
　　
　　黄金价格近日持续走弱，周二欧洲时段加速下挫，创2017year12月以来新低；究其原因还是因美联储加速加息的前景支撑美元走强，持续令黄金承压；技术面上周线图上看，金价持续沿2标准差布林带下轨下行，已跌破2017year1月以来上行趋势线，RSI尚未超卖，前景偏空。日线图上，金价近日回测2017year1月以来上行趋势线后受阻续跌，MACDDead fork,RSI超卖，前景看空但超卖；目前行情今日黄金行情已经临近下方1180-1204上行趋势支撑位1255附近，短线上金价跌势暂缓，转而反弹修正。但是对于后面的走势仍然不能乐观。
　　
　　目前黄金震荡下跌，多个指标依然死叉运行，下行风险依然存在，关注周二低点1254附近支撑，如果失守该位置，则可能会重新试探1250附近支撑，若跌破该位置，则可能会打开进一步下行空间。不过，金价在上周四（6month21日）录得锤子线后紧跟一根小阳线，KDJ也处于超买区域，短线也有望小幅反弹，上方关注顶底转换1262一线阻力。综合来看，黄金今日操作上还是反弹做空为主，上方阻力1262, lower support1255。早盘建议围绕凌晨反抽的高点博弈空，短期建议触及1260可轻仓空，目标继续看1253,1252，主要还是看欧盘的强弱，一但价格有效站稳1262盘中再去做调仓，下方分界点1255，保守可等午后压制空！黄金现在只能看下方1250-1240这两个支撑了。这两个位置行情若是给出信号可以布局中线多单，把握40点以上的利润问题不大，具体布局思路可以联.系笔者。操作建仓把握不准可连线笔者易萧品金，有套了单的朋友可转接本人官.tinyyxpj08As the author is not aware of the detailed information on the points and positions where you have set the order, it is difficult to provide the corresponding unlocking strategy. For those who need to unlock the set, they can use a single line of Yi Xiaopinjin
　　

    投资有风险，入市需谨慎。最佳点位还是由易萧实时给出，以上仅代表个人观点，不作操作依据，据此操作盈亏自负！


　　Why can't you hold onto the profit order while I can?
　　
　　1.对行情整体结构和框架不清晰，跟着行情跑，没有整体的预判和思路。所以并不知道行情未来发展的方向，所以行情跌了就看空，涨了就看多，思路频繁调整。简单说，就是实力不够，看不懂趋势，而且没有一个特别明确的老师指导带着，自然稍有起伏就拿不住单了。
　　
　　2.The position is too large and there is no good awareness of fund management.
　　
　　重仓，满仓做，恐怕谁都拿不住单子，除非你不在乎结果，不在乎钱，只在乎刺激的过程。学会好的风控意识，仓位控制好，建议新手操作不超过10-15%，轻仓严格止损做，谁的心态都会慢慢好。心态做好是成功投资者必备的条件，没有好的心态，想在投资市场挣钱基本是不可能的。
　　
　　3.flighty and impetuous.
　　
　　不做单，着急入场，做了单，着急出场。盯着盘面眼睛就不会动了，做了空就想行情跌，做了多就恨不得行情立马涨。所有的利润和财富都要靠时间来累计。
　　
A common misconception and phenomenon in the trading process is that during long-term consolidation of the market, everyone likes to chase up and kill down, because they are eager to create trend trends. After all, the repeated washing of the market is not easy to follow, as the strength and weakness of the long and short positions do not continue. People expect the market to break through the trend and show their skills, but often the key positions of the market are broken and do not continue, and the big positive and big negative are meaningless. Therefore, the consequences of chasing up and killing down are to go long to the highest point, short to the lowest point, and be passive everywhere. When the real trend market comes out, most traders start to guess the top and bottom again, doubting the trend and not daring to follow it. Another counter trend operation that everyone wants to eat anytime,这样的交易思路或许偶尔侥幸盈利，但多数是都是悲剧收场。


　　The author Yi Xiaopinjin focuses on studying the international economic situation, and investment should be more in line with the trend. Trading in precious metals (gold and silver),crude oil（WTI）Investment,foreign exchangeInvestment friends who are interested in products such as stocks can follow the company for details.Public.ID: Yi Xiaopinjin, welcome to exchange and learn together! Investment carries risks and caution is necessary when entering the market. Yi Xiao suggests that everyone enter the market with a reasonable position to grasp.


　　writing/Yi Xiao (Director WeChat:yxpj08(Public account: Yi Xiaopinjin) Writing