单晨金：行情虽弱但还是要谨慎，黄金日内走势分析

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单晨金：行情虽弱但还是要谨慎，gold日内走势分析
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周三亚市早盘，现货黄金在隔夜跌破1260后继续低迷，目前交投在1258美元附近，后市恐面临进一步抛压。

现货黄金盘中周二下跌7美元，黄金当日的价格下跌可以分为两部分，其中4.9美元的下跌归因于美元走强，另外2.1美元的下跌是空头继续抛售的结果。在贵金属中，黄金是唯一一个抛售压力构成其低价格的贵金属，白银周二价格也出现下跌，但主要是因美元表现强势。


自美联储释放加息等鹰派信号后，金价就一直萎靡不振。而目前黄金交易更多由技术面上的信号驱动。压低金价的基本面因素依然存在，并继续严重限制金价的涨幅。美国股市再次放大了市场风险情绪，周二收高，这与美元走强相结合，令金价承压，导致周二价格收低。后市只要美元继续走强，金价就会面临一场艰难的战斗。黄金没有成为传统的避险资产，这一事实是限制金价上涨的另一个因素。所有这些因素都在继续作用黄金，压低其价格。


黄金价格近日持续走弱，周二欧洲时段加速下挫，创2017year12月以来新低；究其原因还是因美联储加速加息的前景支撑美元走强，持续令黄金承压；技术面上周线图上看，金价持续沿2标准差布林带下轨下行，已跌破2017year1月以来上行趋势线，RSI尚未超卖，前景偏空。日线图上，金价近日回测2017year1月以来上行趋势线后受阻续跌，MACDDead fork,RSI超卖，前景看空但超卖；目前行情今日黄金行情已经临近下方1180-1204上行趋势支撑位1255附近，短线上金价跌势暂缓，转而反弹修正。但是对于后面的走势仍然不能乐观。

目前黄金震荡下跌，多个指标依然死叉运行，下行风险依然存在，关注周二低点1254附近支撑，如果失守该位置，则可能会重新试探1250附近支撑，若跌破该位置，则可能会打开进一步下行空间。不过，金价在上周四（6month21日）录得锤子线后紧跟一根小阳线，KDJ也处于超买区域，短线也有望小幅反弹，上方关注顶底转换1262一线阻力。综合来看，黄金今日操作上还是反弹做空为主，上方阻力1262, lower support1255。早盘建议围绕凌晨反抽的高点博弈空，当前刚好是1260-1261，短期建议触及可轻仓空，目标继续看1253,1252，主要还是看欧盘的强弱，一但价格有效站稳1262盘中再去做调仓，下方分界点1255，保守可等午后压制空！


Why can't you hold onto the profit order while I can?


1.The overall structure and framework of the market are not clear, and there is no overall prediction and thinking to follow the market. So I don't know the direction of the future development of the market, so when the market falls, I am bearish, and when it rises, I am bullish, and my thinking is constantly changing. Simply put, it's just that the strength is not enough, and without a particularly clear teacher's guidance, it's natural that if there are slight fluctuations, you won't be able to hold onto the order.


2.The position is too large and there is no good awareness of fund management.


Heavy warehouse, full warehouse, I'm afraid no one can hold onto the order unless you don't care about the outcome, don't care about the money, only care about the process of stimulation. Learn to have a good risk control awareness, control positions well, and not exceed10-15%, general5-8%Strict stop loss measures for light positions will gradually improve everyone's mentality.


3.flighty and impetuous.


Don't make an order, enter in a hurry, make an order, exit in a hurry. If you stare at the market, you won't move your eyes. If you short, you want the market to fall, and if you do too much, you want the market to rise immediately. All profits and wealth depend on time to accumulate.

交易过程中大家常见的一个误区和现象：长时间整理行情中大家都喜欢追涨杀跌，因为渴望出趋势行情，毕竟整理行情的反复洗盘多空强弱不延续不容易跟随操作。大家更期望行情突破出趋势，好一展身手，但是往往行情关键位置虚破不延续，大阳大阴无意义，所以追涨杀跌的后果就是做多到最高点，做空到最低点，处处被动。而真正趋势行情出来的时候，大多交易者又开始猜顶猜底，怀疑趋势，不敢去跟随趋势。又是多空都想吃的逆势操作,这样的交易思路或许偶尔侥幸盈利，但多数是都是悲剧收场。


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.