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昨日盘初公布的英国NIESRto9Three months in a monthGDP预估符合市场预期+0.7%,9monthBRC总体零售销售及同店零售销售优于市场预期,但对英镑支持有限,英镑/美元震荡下行至周一低点附近波动。随后英国金融服务管理局认为,货币市场环境相当不正常的讲话,也推低英镑。汇价一路下跌至2.0254。但美股的高开高走,刺激套息交易,汇价在美联储会议纪要前升至2.0345。纪要公布后汇价仅小幅下落至2.0315,在美股创出新高的带动下,汇价再度上行,尾盘升至2.0380水平。目前市场对美联储的降息预期并不如先前强烈,而英国央行降息压力似乎大于欧洲央行。倾向英镑/美元维持回落趋势。阻力位在2.0400、2.0450、2.0500,下方支持位在2.0320、2.0260、2.0200。

Expected Today's Fluctuation Range2.0320-2.0450。

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