Shan Chenjin:6.15美元和黄金为什么同步上涨？后市行情怎么看？

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Shan Chenjin:6.15USD andgold为什么同步上涨？后市行情怎么看？
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周四的欧洲央行决议再次坐实了德拉基“欧元杀手”的称号，汇市隔夜遭到血洗，鸽派欧银决议后欧元盘中一度暴跌近300点，接连跌破1.17，1.16关口，美元则趁机暴力拉升逼近95关口，在美元强势的背景下，黄金却再现罕见一幕，与美元同向上涨，成功收于1300dollar/盎司上方。今日6month15日（周五）是美国白宫此前设定的发布对华最终关税清单的日子，市场对此高度警惕。

整体周内波幅依然不大，前面两周单周波幅10-15美金，这周目前波幅16美金，但是主要幅度其中在昨日。周一探底回升十字星，周二小阴，周三小阳，周四昨日冲高回落。黄金价格今日早盘小幅走弱之后强势上升站稳1300关口，晚间金价在消息面的影响下进一步上升刷新高点至1309一线，虽然受制于强势美元涨势受阻，不过目前黄金仍然持稳在近期高位；在周四之前，黄金价格一直维持在低位三角震荡，昨日行情破位打破了僵局。至于昨日美元与黄金同步上涨是因为欧央行未来一整年不会提高利率，这意味着美国利率和欧洲利率之间将存在巨大差距，其将增加对黄金的需求。


技术面上看，隔夜金价企稳收阳，且持稳于布林带中轨上方，金价继续站稳中轨支撑向上突破，目前已经向上刺穿上轨阻力压制，布林带有向上延伸发展的迹象；且均线系统多头排列于K线下方；日线上黄金短期趋势偏涨。4Looking at the hour chart,K线目前持于布林带上轨附近，布林带开口；均线系统多头排列运行。综合来看，此次的加息已尘埃落定，虽然未打破金价的运行区间，后市有望形成震荡上行的走势。但是目前这波拉高能否形成多头趋势行情，我们还是要看下1315-1316能否突破。理由也强调过了，黄金本身日线不在趋势里面，即便突破分水岭，最多也是从一个区间跳到另外一个区间运行而已。那么今日重点关注1315一线的突破情况，操作上由于昨日晚间的拉升，早盘可以依托支撑1301一线拿多，止损1296, Objective1308-1310，如果直接上涨触及1315一线，也可以去空一波。


怕行情反转？金字塔建仓法助你稳健获利！


这种方法做了一段时间的投资朋友们应该能够明白，但是操作上还是没很好的去实施。金字塔建仓发分为两种，一种是顺势建仓法，另一种是逆势建仓法。顺势建仓法就是当价格按照理想的点位进行移动，这个时候我们应该采取加仓，但是每加一次仓位要减少与前面一次。第二就是逆势，走势按照不理想的方向走，需要的每一次下仓都要高于前一次仓位。一般加仓的点位相隔3-5Points.


金字塔建仓理论是一种分批建仓的方法，说简单一点就是越跌越加倍买，这种方法在下跌通道里操作比较好用。这也是一个长期的投资理念，例如从长期来看某产品长期趋势向好，若价格下跌，以金字塔的方式建仓最好，即价位越低，建仓数量越大。当金价回到正常轨道后，自然盈利。


金字塔理论操作的时候一定要注意其中的几个关键环节，否则极有可能被全仓套牢。用数字化的例子来说明比较合适，最初始建仓的时候，仓位一定要很轻，属于战略性建仓，动用的资金应该在32分之一左右最好，此时要设定好补仓的原则，比如每跌10％补一次。


金字塔建仓模式最重要的细节就是初次建仓的位置的把握和仓位控制，建仓时机过早则短线亏损会比较严重，但是一旦连续下跌至目标位可能会补满仓带来反弹后的收益绝对值较大；初始建仓位置低，短时获利可能增加，但是由于初始仓位轻所以获利绝对值相对较少。所以有的时候主动买套等待继续下跌不失为明智之举。为了避免早期仓位轻的风险，你可以把资金分散到不同的品种分别建仓，注意一定不要满仓，否则你会错过瞬间即逝的绝佳补仓机会。

Yes, don't believe in the ending, it's just another beginning. There was a time when I always liked to imagine how much the price would drop, how many orders I would buy, and how much I would earn from the price increase. But it has been shattered by reality time and time again. Later, it was discovered that this unreality came from the confused area of technology. When it falls, ask for more; when it rises, ask for more; always thinking about the middle line, but never doing it. Why? The end of wave after wave of market trends, the beginning of each trend, is just a cycle, and fate has not changed. Many people view trading solely as technical, without considering many of their own details, resulting in a disastrous failure. Toothache is not a disease, but it can be excruciating. That's the truth. When not sick, eat and drink recklessly, and when sick, swear to stop talking. This is human nature. The same goes for transactions. When a set of orders appears, I swear that there will be no more sets of orders after this release. As a result, I forget the pain of the scar and will still get a set of orders next time. You can't pass the gates of hell, you can't drink the mesmerizing soup. Only when you go through and eliminate misunderstandings can your trading truly grow.


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.