Zhao Yifu:6.13加息决议对黄金影响大吗？加息前黄金该怎么布局？

Article Summary:2018.6.13Is it a rise in the US dollargoldJust fall?6month13TodayGOLD国际伦敦金还会涨吗？黄金在什么情况下会爆仓？工行纸黄金跟国际现货黄金有什么区别？加息前要做好哪些防范？黄金都价格和哪些影响有关？通过哪些数据知道黄金是涨还是跌？什么是锁仓交易法？ What are the differences in the ratio of gold leverage?foreign exchangeWhich platforms are more secure?6month13日新手炒黄金需要哪些心态？美国加息是几月几号？美联储加息对黄金有什么影响？6.13What is the impact of the US dollar on gold? APIBearishcrude oil暴跌，怎么看待今日原油EIA？原油还会跌吗原油多单如何解套？
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即使是一个聪明人，当他产生恐惧心理时也会变的愚笨。认为在黄金白银原油市场中，恐惧常会使投资者的投资水平发挥失常、屡屡出现失误，并最终导致投资失败。你是亏损的睡不着觉，还是赚的睡到自然醒呢？所以说选择大于努力！这时候你是否要找个老师，可以为你出谋划策。与你并肩作战呢？恐惧是投资者在市场中获取赢利的最大障碍。尽管我所说的这些大多数投资者能理解，但在操作中能灵活运用的却少之又少，导致在投资市场上亏损。

​——黄金美联储加息有哪些因素影响黄金涨跌呢?——
黄金近期一直震荡，是因为什么呢？不错，就是为了本周的美联储加息利率决议。在此之前，黄金一直是处于被动防守的情况。为的就是等待美联储公布，以及鲍威尔讲话内容是否会超出之前市场预期。如果是在市场预期之内，那么“买预期”“卖事实”的情况将被激发，黄金将触底反弹。但是如果美联储与鲍威尔的讲话超出了市场预期，那么黄金则还有下行的可能。事件还并未到来，赵亦富后期会对此事详细说明，各位投资朋友静待赵亦富后期的更新吧。
其实在当下，市场避险情绪激发导致与加息走低的预期形成了对冲。但是在周初依旧看好黄金先走低一波。为什么？因为当前避险情绪虽然是在不断发酵。但是避险情绪都是来得快去得快。还有一个就是新鲜感。
比如之前朝美局势那般。突然一炮，黄金暴涨。但是之后时不时的崩一炮，市场已经习惯了，这也就限制了避险情绪对黄金的支撑力度。当前就是这个情况，虽然因为贸易战而引发避险情绪，但是这个事件已经让市场习以为常。还有最大的一点就是。贸易战是很容易通过谈话来解决问题的。之前中美几次和解。现在中美，美欧等也有可能再次通过谈话协商来解决此事。所以赵亦富当前并不看好避险情绪的强势。

而在加息前期，黄金在反弹过程中更容易吸引卖盘的进场来压制黄金以及导致黄金走低。这个现象会在加息接近的时候更为强势。也就是说，赵亦富看好在加息前两天，出现一波下跌，从而再视美联储加息公布情况以及鲍威尔讲话内容在决定是否筑底。
——Summary of the news and views of Yifu——

From a broader perspective,6月份的焦点不是今天的贸易战，而是6month14号的美联储加息问题。让美联储有望在接下来的几周加息，甚至有可能在2018年加息四次，但必须认识到下半年也可能存在变数。市场建立在美联储今年将加息三次的假设基础上，通胀正在温和上升，这意味着美联储加息脚步不会超过市场的预期，所以亦富认为金价后市会走空（当然投资者也要考虑到，市场上人们都知道The pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike will not exceed market expectations,Gold will go short ahead of time, and investors will buy more and rebound more. When gold falls to its lowest point, we can lay out medium to long term long positions,

大家期待的日子终于来了，今日晚凌晨2点将公布6月份美联储利率决议，如果符合市场预期成功加息，那么将迎来年内的第二次加息，也是近几年来的第七次加息。
我们先带大家做个简单梳理，以往数次加息之后行情走法对黄金市场造成的影响：

2015year12month17日加息，黄金1064急跌1046反弹企稳，然后展开了220美金左右的多头趋势行情。
2016year12month15日加息，黄金1122-1130附近横盘几个交易日之后，展开了140美金的多头趋势行情。
2017year3month16日加息，行情展开了一波1196-1296of100美金多头趋势。
2017year6month15日加息，黄金1265reach1204先下跌了两个周，然后企稳展开了1204reach1358的多头趋势行情。
2017year12month14日加息，黄金1240做底到1365一轮多头趋势行情。
2018year3month22日加息，黄金1310reach1357的一波小整理反弹行情。
看完这个详细的总结和统计，你是不是对加息行情有个大概的了解。首先，市场呼声较高的6月加息应该没有任何悬念，其次加息之后中期方向向上这个也是大概率事件，毕竟这种反复炒作的消息往往都是卖消息买事实。但是具体数据公布之后，行情是先跌一波再反弹，还是直接反弹，以及是先有一段事件的下跌之后反弹，是我们需要关注的重点，不知如何布局都朋友可以单线亦富
——Suggestions and Trend Analysis for Gold Operations——

黄金日线震荡持续受到50％斐波那契回撤位的压制，MACD上行动能涨势疲软，金价缺乏打破上行限制的动力。此外，MA均线的走势较为消极，5Daily moving average and10日均线聚集交叉，上方持续受到30The suppression of the daily moving average,RSI指标涨势也暂停，预计在美联储决议之前，市场将维持震荡趋势。短期来看4小时金价目前震荡交投于收敛三角区间中，上方初步阻力位于1302美元附近，下方支撑位于1294附近低点不断抬高。目前布林带走势趋平，暗示金价短线将继续保持震荡趋势，不过近期行情有破位风险，仍需谨慎。

——今日黄金操作技巧——
高抛低吸，建议一：1295-1296附近轻仓做多，目标1300附近；止损4Points;
高抛低吸，建议二：1302Short and stop losses in nearby light positions1306USD, target1297-1296（利率决议公布前，轻仓操作）
——Crude oil operation suggestions and trend analysis——
4小时继续在布林道上轨处承压，稍微张口后仍回落收口。同时中轨没能守住。短线修正空间是否完毕还待确认，不过连续的探高回落，也显示出反弹乏力。等待出现修正后的停顿高点后会同样拐头向下。上方压力仍在67.30附近。今日短线若是进一步的探高，那么67.30附近就会受压回落，结合昨天的步调。高点尽可能出现在美盘时段阻力点就更有效。至少是否还去做多，等欧盘盘中再行安排。行情瞬息万变
——原油日内可参考操作策略——
1、被动反攻：建议反弹67.30empty  damage67.85  target66.40-66.0；
2、主动进攻：建议回调65.30Short Duo  damage64.80  target66.30；
The market is constantly changing, so it is important to control your position reasonably and avoid heavy or full positions. When placing orders, please bring a stop loss. The real-time order strategy will point out in the actual market that the investment market is full of unknowns, and long-term stable profits are the fundamental.

​——How to untie the single quilt cover? How to prevent duvet covers——
1Recently, gold has risen to1306, down to1300I think there have been quite a few cases of being cheated on in the market, and Yifu has also helped many friends to cheat. As long as your cheat is not too deep, it is relatively easy to cheat. Just control the position well! But unraveling is not the most important thing, the most important thing is to strictly make a list to prevent bedding!

2Friends who have multiple orders on the top and empty orders on the bottom of the gold quilt, don't rush to clear your order. Clearing the quilt is not something that can be done in a day or two, and it takes time. Recently, gold has fluctuated up and down, which are excellent opportunities to clear the quilt. The most important thing to clear the quilt is to judge the top and bottom, so your mentality is very important. Maintaining a good mentality can help you judge the market trend well!
——The Way of Enlightenment——
If you still read the article after losing money, prove one thing, you are not willing! Not reconciled to the fact that this market has taken away all of its own funds, then you can click into my post. I want to say that either you don't have a teacher or the teacher is not awesome. The next thing you need to do is talk to me. Maybe I can help you. I have been investing as an analyst for so many years, and I have experienced the market situation in the past two days many times. I can also guess your current mindset is very close. Don't blame the market or blame yourself. When investing, we all want to make a profit, which is also the purpose of our investment. I understand. But you lost money, the reason is simple: you want to win in this market. Things that go against our wishes in this world always happen by our side. A strong desire for profit can subtly change your mindset. You have a strong subjective mindset when making orders, and you always think that after you enter the market, you should follow your own ideas. How could it be? No one can control the market. Have you analyzed rationally when making orders. If you don't understand analysis, did your teacher explain the reasons for making orders? If not, how could he be a competent teacher?
(For more details, please follow Zhao Yifu's article byw0577125  official accountZYF5780Exclusive planning by Zhao Yifu. Investors are advised to be vigilant about the same article content and fields that will appear after this time period! Investment itself carries risks, which reminds everyone to identify authoritative platforms, strength teachers, and prioritize capital safety. Secondly, consider operational risks, and finally, how to make profits

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