Shan Chenjin:6.6黄金价格拉升是否反转？日内走势分析

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Shan Chenjin:6.6gold价格拉升是否反转？日内走势分析


Tuesday(6month5day)，现货黄金整体走势呈现窄幅震荡格局，于1292一线徘徊。美国对其盟友征收关税，伊朗恢复核活动，这些因素都未能推动黄金价格走高，黄金价格走势依然受到美元的压制。日内市场无重大数据公布，晚间欧洲央行行长德拉基和前欧洲央行行长特里谢参加该行20周年会谈，市场将密切关注德拉基会否发表关于货币政策的评论。

昨天黄金行情白盘4美金的波动几乎让人没有想法，到了晚上急速拉升10美金，然后又开始回调，估计有部分人已经开始怀疑是不是开始大级别反弹了，但是我想说的是，在加息这个预期压制之下，在落定之前，不太建议看多，历次加息的经历都这样。如果出现反转，那么至少需要出现多个反转信号的共振，比如出现多个多个4小时或日线的背离，或者出现布林信号反转，到关键点位，或者K线十字星之类。现在只是在支撑位反弹，看反转为时过早。


盘面上从日线上看，黄金自4Moon touch1365的高点以来，价格一路震荡下行，形成日线下行通道，短期均线已从上往下穿过长期均线，日线级别偏空运行。虽然近期黄金多次上攻，但是均无功而返，日线也并未能突破下降趋势，日线持续收阴，从日线的形态来看，黄金目前虽然还是属于震荡的格局，但是只要上方1308一线强阻力区域未破，暂时也难看到多头太多的延续性，而在上方高点不断下移，低点不断在创近期新低之际，加大了本周行情继续延续震荡下跌的可能性。



from4小时来看，整体走势还是下跌后的震荡修正过程，并且在结构上黄金依然属于压制状态，黄金近期持续挑战下降趋势线失败，金价目前仍然在下行通道内，即便是在地缘政治比较动荡的基本面情况下，黄金仍未能将避险属性充分体现，而金价也因上周非农利空的压力，黄金一度虚破刷新低点，只要后市下行通道运行没被破坏，那么后市金价有望再度下跌，后市金价不破1308一线，操作上笔者建议继续保持高空为主，低多为辅。


Golden Operation Strategy:


1Above1300Short nearby, stop loss1304Look at the target below1294—1292；


2Below1290Long nearby, stop loss1286On the target1295—1297。


如何才能稳定收益，稳中求胜？


Some fundamental factors must be overcome by profit makers, and every step is a watershed; From the moment you enter this market, don't expect to become rich overnight. Good fund management and trading habits are crucial, and maintaining a fixed position is still the key; A small profitable position and a large losing position will ultimately result in a loss! And if fixed cannot make a profit, then it is a matter of probability and success rate!


Trading indicates the beginning of boredom, which is normal. We are not trading for excitement, trading for excitement can only be a way to stay away from this market. Accepting boredom is also a part of successful trading! If you decide on your own trade, then strictly execute it. In the trend, follow the trend and buy high and buy low in the range. Watch more and move less. Also, don't speculate because of the price, think that the price has dropped enough and buy, and don't short sell because the price has risen sharply. Define the trading signal, which is also the only reason for execution! The rest involves emotions, don't let emotions interfere with your operational decisions!

Everyone will have moments of instability. When the support for rising or breaking, they will pursue the rise, and when the resistance is broken, they will kill the fall. It is not clear which is right or wrong, and everyone knows that capital preservation is the best option. However, we are not here to play in this market. Profitability is my goal, your goal, and the goal of the entire market. It's not difficult to break even and make a comeback. Timely stopping losses and profits is the test of people's hearts, but the joy of stopping profits cannot outweigh the heartache of stopping losses. Simply put, it is the greed of human nature. So your thinking is your direction, and if you mess up your thinking, you have already handed over the direction of your funds to market manipulation.


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.