Shan Chenjin:6.4回撤加剧多头难有起色，黄金日内走势分析

[paragraph]
Shan Chenjin:6.4回撤加剧多头难有起色，goldIntraday trend analysis
​

Summary:Last Friday(6month1day)，非农数据公布，失业率创新低，美元得到提振。与此同时，缘风险渐渐消退，国际现货黄金一度跌破1290美元，但随后回弹，终守住1290Da Guan.


--International News Analysis--

现货黄金上周五(6month1day)小幅下挫，美市盘中最低下探至1289.12美元，金价运行在1300下方，短线出现V型反弹。上周五公布的美国5月非农就业数据显示，新增岗位22.3万个，远超预期的19万，失业率录得3.8%, creating18年来的新低。非农报告的其他部分也非常强劲，为美联储激进式加息提供了一定的依据。


数据发布后，黄金短线一度跳水，美元指数则触及日高，美国股市也高开，市场较为乐观。外围市场看，隔夜世界股市涨跌不一，亚洲较低迷，欧洲上涨。意大利民粹主义政党五星运动和联.Alliance.党的二次组阁终于成功，持续了两个多月的意大利风波终于平息，欧股回暖。由于上周四美国宣布对欧盟及加拿大等开征钢铝税，投资者担心另一场全球贸易战将开打，受到影响的欧盟及加拿大等也对美国产品开征关税作为报复。另外美国本周五将公布的其他数据制造业PMI值，建筑支出和ISM制造业报告等。


--Analysis of spot gold market--


周线连续收阴，而上周继续以阴线收尾，从大结构来看，金价延续下行趋势线不断走低，布林带三轨维持开口状态，但是在周线收盘金价收在布林带下轨之上，并未进一步下行，此位置还是存在支撑的，同时该位置与60Daily moving average1292支撑重合，其次是1285-1280区域的支撑，此位置可以说是本周黄金的多空分界线，目前反弹基本上已经宣告结束，而接下来周线上涨量能减弱，而上周非农数据的影响有限，目前走势来看周线有望继续走震荡，但同时也需要防止行情破位下行。


日线来看，上周多次上攻均无功而返，日线也并未能突破下降趋势，日线以带一根下影线较长的大阴收尾，从日线的形态来看，以长下影线收尾也彰显了下方存在着强支撑，下方强支撑不破也加大了下周行情可能继续延续震荡下跌的可能性。4小时来看，虽然布林带三轨由之前的走平转变为开口形态，而金价也因非农利空打压，黄金一度虚破刷新低点，但是这里需要注意的是，在未能有效下破1285-80之前，黄金还不能够确认走空头趋势，日线上金价本周反弹受阻，同时打到布林带中轨受阻走低，震荡偏空的走势中，都是偏向空头。但是一切以1285-1280一线多空分界线为基准，破位则意味着将会进一步走低，在未破位之前，继续保持着1285-1308区间内宽幅整理。综上所述我们认为布局继续高沽低渣暂定短线区间1298-1285。


--Suggestions for spot gold operation--


1、1296-1298一线空单，损1300, Objective1290-1288


2、1288一线多单，损1284, Objective1295


如何才能稳定收益，稳中求胜？


Some fundamental factors must be overcome by profit makers, and every step is a watershed; From the moment you enter this market, don't expect to become rich overnight. Good fund management and trading habits are crucial, and maintaining a fixed position is still the key; A small profitable position and a large losing position will ultimately result in a loss! And if fixed cannot make a profit, then it is a matter of probability and success rate!


Trading indicates the beginning of boredom, which is normal. We are not trading for excitement, trading for excitement can only be a way to stay away from this market. Accepting boredom is also a part of successful trading! If you decide on your own trade, then strictly execute it. In the trend, follow the trend and buy high and buy low in the range. Watch more and move less. Also, don't speculate because of the price, think that the price has dropped enough and buy, and don't short sell because the price has risen sharply. Define the trading signal, which is also the only reason for execution! The rest involves emotions, don't let emotions interfere with your operational decisions!

My friend who came to consult with Dan Chenjin these days either needs to solve the problem or urgently needs to recoup their investment. To be honest, all I can do is provide guidance on the market situation. Perhaps I can help you solve the problem now and temporarily recover some losses, but investing is a long-term process, and more paths need to be taken by yourself. As the saying goes, those who come from the same school but have differences in profits and losses are always the ones who are prone to losing money. The market is ruthless, so don't let yourself lose at the starting line.


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's message: The purest financial management, the highest level of enjoyment!


σ-σ：330-5379-776V-Letter:scj366


The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.