Nie Xinyan:6.4黄金受阻下行，加息必空无疑，反弹继续空

   
goldMarket trend analysis


       目前黄金在1297.7附近，应该说黄金的短线趋势已经出现，晚间美国非农数据表现良好利空黄金一度测试到1293下位置，按照我们对于黄金短线区间的判断黄金是在1293-1311区间内选择方向，目前数据利空朝下跌破选择，在加上数据对于6月份加息预期的影响，欣妍个人思路去看空了。
　　
　　日线上看，黄金日内在测试1300美元重要关口阻力位后转弱，K线重心明显降低。短均线和20日均线处于横向整理，今30日均线下弯扣底，而60日均线下弯将出现死叉，黄金两阶段垫高底部1293支撑，而黄金预估下周将处于震荡下跌走势，；从副指标KDandRSI来看，延续空方讯号。4Looking at the hourly chart,K线运行于布林带下轨附近有承压回落趋势，行情多次触及布林带上轨均出现回落，说明上方存在强阻力，布林带三轨保持开口运行趋势，MA5On the moving averageMA10MA20Daily moving average.MACD快慢线于0轴附近交死叉，绿色动能逐步放量，KDJ三线呈死叉下行，行情偏向于弱势。操作上欣妍建议继续高空为主。
　　
　　Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Obstruction encountered above1300Nearby entry with no broken orders, stop loss1304, Objective1293nearby
　　
　　2Lower support1293Nearby entry without breaking multiple orders, stop loss1289, Objective1302nearby


　　
　crude oilMarket trend analysis:


　　原油周四周五日线收阴，基本将周三的反弹空间尽数回吐。也说明日线的下跌趋势还没有结束。伴随了一波反抽再收低。起到拉动指标修正的作用，目前均线系统下压，就等支撑点65.5附近的失守。日线失守上升线则会加深调整，目前来看还处于修正阶段，4小时的冲高回落修正效果比较明显。周初的急跌，均线系统并未拐头，经过周四周五的回落，短中期均线系统已拐头死叉，布林带也开始收口。本周初反抽上轨承压回落，如果跌破下轨开口则下方将打开空间。
　　
　　当前行情距离下轨65.5位置已经很近了，但是当前下跌行情延续性有限，本周破位的概率不大。下周预计将再次寻求破位，所以后市欣妍建议还是以偏空思路对待，顺势操作才能保证利润。后市操作上欣妍建议可先低多再高空，上方关注68Resistance, pay attention below66Support.
　　
　　Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Callback66Long nearby, stop loss65.6On the target66.8-67.4；
　　
　　2、67.3Empty order entry, stop loss67.7, Objective66.3-66.0。


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writing/Nie Xinyan VX：xin19878