陆远晴：5.30晚评黄金、原油走势分析及操作策略

陆远晴：5.30Late reviewgold、crude oil走势分析及操作策略

Golden News--

意大利风险爆发的可能性让整个欧盟地缘政治危机达到较高水平，再叠加贸易战的升温，各大股市哀鸿一片。美元指数强势再次上攻95关口，欧元英镑一蹶不振，本来避险天堂的黄金也没能一飞冲天，承压下行。消息面的影响并没有让黄金直线暴涨，意味着上方压力目前较大，空方力量仍旧较强。技术面上黄金关键压力通道线的打压下，黄金能否坚挺熬过千三关口，打破下跌趋势通道线，还得看本周五大非农数据的情况。

Gold technology aspect--

1、现货黄金的价格经过突破均线以及回调确认，已经站稳短期均线，并且短期均线的勾头向上，说明现货黄金的价格将会进一步攀升。

2、KDJIndicatorK、D、J三线多头排列，并且勾头向上，说明现货黄金的价格在短期内有反弹的需求。

3、MACD指标的快线上穿慢线形成金叉，并且红色动能柱在逐渐的变长，说明现货黄金的多头有反弹的需求。

短期金价仍然运行于1293-1308区间，而均线交叉后持于K线下方，短期起到支撑作用，日线上黄金压力和支撑并存。短线来看，金价早盘走跌后维持窄幅震荡，短期内预计维持震荡走势；短期阻力位置周一早间起跌点1304，进一步日线图上方1308附近。支撑方面则关1293附近；若破位后市继续下看1290Near.

Recommendations for Gold Operations--

1Obstruction encountered above1307-1308Enter without breaking the empty order, target1298附近，下破持有。

2Lower support1293-1294Multiple entry nearby, target1302附近，上破持有。

Crude oil news surface--

消息面：因为欧佩克可能于6月增产的消息，导致原油不再受欧佩克减产的支撑，油价也就缺少了上涨最重要的助力，所以上周自72.9开始急速回落；毕竟从来都不会有持续单边上涨或下跌的行情。目前行情空头表现较为强势。但也不能盲目过度看空，毕竟我们还要时刻关注中东危局的一个动向，若美伊就核协议问题再发酵油价还是会受支撑反弹。但就目前结构上来看，如无重大利多原油的消息面出来，我们还是反弹看空为主。

从日线上看，自上周在73一线关口未能突破后，油价强势五连阴一路回调早已打破上行通道，虽然中途也有小幅反弹，但是对于空头而言，但是也只能看作反弹修正，依旧没有影响空头的强势。从目前趋势来看，短线原油依然是偏向于空头，本周若没有太多的利多消息刺激，那么从形态上看，原油必然还会下跌的。

From4From an hourly perspective, since the oil price surged back to its backwardness last Tuesday, the oil price has continued to decline, and the trend channel has completely broken down,70The key support for the first line trend has been lost, and the trend support will shift to strong trend suppression in the future. The price retreats below the average line of each cycle, and the overall opening of Bollinger remains unchanged, while the short-term indicators remain downward. Therefore4小时存在延续下行的可能。目前油价正处于短暂反弹修正中，一旦修正完毕，油价还将会继续走回调。日内操作上建议以高空为主低多为辅，上方关注67.3Resistance, pay attention below66.0Support.

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

1.rebound67.20Nearby empty orders enter, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target66.20

2.Fallback65.80Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target66.50

策略仅供参考，具体的进场点位更多操作建议陆远晴会根据实盘变化给出。

Wen/陆远晴—微信 yq910866

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