Shan Chenjin:5.24亚盘横盘黄金方向不明，欧盘走势分析

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Shan Chenjin:5.24亚盘横盘gold方向不明，欧盘走势分析


Summary:现货黄金走势跌宕起伏，多空拉锯战“白热化”，多头企图冲破1298的强阻力位，但多次被打压回落至1287-1289低位。黄金多头试图借助地缘政治因素的提振走出近期的震荡困境。
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--International News Analysis--

Early Thursday morning Beijing time2点公布的美联储5月会议纪要显示。纪要显示，多数委员表示，下一次加息可能很快到来，这巩固了市场对6月加息的预期。不过，部分委员表示将容忍通胀在一定时间内超过目标水平，这被市场解读为鸽派信号。


纪要公布之后，美联储今年6Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to1.75%-2%区间的概率由100%lower95%，美元指数小幅下挫，跌破94关口，现货黄金短线拉升约5美元。会议纪要中透露了肯定的信号，但程度未明，市场也未必知道答案。如果美联储在不采取行动的情况下让通胀高于2%，这就是鸽派信号，也解释了美元为什么在会议纪要公布后有所走低。


目前国际贸易形势和地缘政治局势仍在支撑金价。特朗普周二的劲爆言论仍在发酵的同时，特朗普又有新动作。6month1日，美国对欧盟、加拿大、墨西哥的临时关税豁免将再次到期。特朗普正在考虑采取措施，将欧盟对美的钢铝产品出口削减10%。此外，特朗普考虑对进口车实施新关税关税税率可能高达25%。


--Analysis of spot gold market--


昨日美联储会议并没有引起金价较大波动，得益于美联储对下一次加息时间点的模棱两可。市场继续保持横盘收尾，今日是盘整的第7个交易日。其实，横盘压制，并不是底部特征。阳线再多并不是多头标志，而是力度，如果只有阳线，价格压制，那么一定不属于多头。显然现在的行情，属于横盘整理。


价格压制在前期高点下方横盘，那么一定不是多头信号。


1Watershed1297非常明确。


2，欧盘涨跌仍是关键。


3，前期下跌，后面横盘，肯定是当空头看待。


4,9-10点仍然是循环，每日高点产生的时间点。

操作上，建议1295上方空，继续看1288-1287一线。博弈欧盘下跌。若欧盘突破1298，空单回撤出局看震荡。而欧盘破底昨日凌晨低点，那么今日美盘继续是空。下跌压制，不要因为横盘而看转折，多单仍然需谨慎。


如何才能稳定收益，稳中求胜？


Some fundamental factors must be overcome by profit makers, and every step is a watershed; From the moment you enter this market, don't expect to become rich overnight. Good fund management and trading habits are crucial, and maintaining a fixed position is still the key; A small profitable position and a large losing position will ultimately result in a loss! And if fixed cannot make a profit, then it is a matter of probability and success rate!


Trading indicates the beginning of boredom, which is normal. We are not trading for excitement, trading for excitement can only be a way to stay away from this market. Accepting boredom is also a part of successful trading! If you decide on your own trade, then strictly execute it. In the trend, follow the trend and buy high and buy low in the range. Watch more and move less. Also, don't speculate because of the price, think that the price has dropped enough and buy, and don't short sell because the price has risen sharply. Define the trading signal, which is also the only reason for execution! The rest involves emotions, don't let emotions interfere with your operational decisions!

有些事情简单到极致的时候，往往会让我们产生怀疑的感觉。比方在最近两周黄金行情当中出现的早盘出现高点，日内阴跌循环。比方在这一波强势的crude oil上升行情当中每一次的回撤都是做多的机会；但当一个形态走的太多的时候，我们总是怀疑它有转折的信号。比方连续在早间上升，上升之后会怀疑是不是会打破这种局面。而原油连续破高之后，总是会担心会不会转折掉下来。其实，这都是一种多余的猜测而已。


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.