Shan Chenjin:5.23凌晨会议纪要前瞻，午夜走势分析

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Shan Chenjin:5.23凌晨会议纪要前瞻，午夜走势分析


Summary:gold日内亚盘回落，欧盘探底回升，冲破1296压力，触及1298.5，美盘又是单边回落，下破欧盘低点。整个日内行情又是一个过山车的洗盘反复行情。
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--International News Analysis--

Thursday Beijing time02:00，美国联邦市场委员会(FOMC)To be announced5月政策会议纪要。投资者将从中寻找目前收紧政策周期的行动步伐。市场参与者预计美联储将在2018年加息三到四次。在美联储5At the monthly meeting,FOMC强调称通胀目标是对称的，并表达了对通胀高于目标的一些容忍度。


在上次美联储会后声明中强调“对称”一词后，美元曾出现短暂下跌，市场认为美联储可能会容忍通胀上升。鉴于上次的利率决议没有新闻发布会，本周的美联储会议纪要则显得更为重要，如果美联储再次强调“对称”通胀，美元可能会面临一定的压力。


那么本周美联储纪要是否会继续暗示通胀容忍度？2018年剩余时间美联储将加息至少2次已经被定价，目前很难看到更多定价，除非在美联储会议纪要有关通胀容忍度的表达不那么明显，这也意味着预计美国国债收益率目前不会进一步上升，这一观点也符合目前市场的预期及美国宏观政策。如果在会议纪要中淡化通胀对称，即FOMCWill be on2018年最终加息三次（总共4次），那么这一观点将会超出目前市场的预期，届时美元仍然保持强势，黄金承压。


--Analysis of spot gold market--


算好，黄金欧盘布局失败，但英镑和欧盘顺利极弱，收割利润。crude oil莫担心不够强，晚间会表现。如果我们把前面的横盘看成压制，就一定要注意欧盘的涨跌。这是判断强弱的关键。很遗憾，今日未能如愿，欧盘探底回升，走高至1298一线。空单止损。交易，定方向，定策略，做执行。晚间我们没有反手多的习惯，但还是看反抽。而空损了，不想继续操作。观望的成分更大。最终机构再次介入，市场多头又是哀鸿一片。


黄金日内亚盘回落，欧盘探底回升，冲破1296压力，触及1298.5，美盘又是单边回落，下破欧盘低点。整个日内行情又是一个过山车的洗盘反复行情。根据现在的走势来看，目前日线级别上，K线已经接近了MA10均线压制的位置，相差的不是很大，也就是说明了今日白盘的反弹给到了预期，回落下来就表明了上方的阻力很强势，因此空头还是主导了现在行情走势，故而后市依旧采取以空为主。当下行情往往虚破关键压力不延续，继续关注四小时1285-1295区间整理，凌晨2点美联储会议纪要，预计尾盘行情波幅不大了。尾盘尝试交易的话可以在1292-1293一线介入空单。


如何能以交易为生？


如何能以交易为生，那么首先需要了解市场，市场的本质是什么？市场就是一大群人，他们遍布于世界五大洲，由现代的通讯设备整合在一起，每个人都希望通过别人的亏损来实现自己的获利！市场中的每个人都是敌手！而刚进入市场的投资者如果没有万分的准备，必然是遗憾离场，部分苦苦支撑盲目的找方法学技术咨询老师，最终依然还是亏损！


So why is this happening? Is the road to profitability really so difficult? It has to be said that the fact is so! Profit making techniques and analysis only account for some of the reasons, while human weaknesses are the majority of the reasons. Execution cannot keep up, loss orders are constantly carried, profits cannot be seen shrinking, profit and loss orders cannot be held, heavy positions, frequent operations, in short, it still depends on mentality! Always remember one sentence, talent is the biggest source of risk, and the person who should be most careful is always oneself! The mentality of luck is often the source of significant losses!

We know that one of the weaknesses of human nature is the lack of action, and this will be one of the most fatal weaknesses in doing something. The same goes for gold trading. We may have read through various strategies and techniques related to gold, or learned a lot about gold trading strategies. However, if we lack execution ability, all our efforts will be in vain. We have been learning the principle of 'practice leads to truth' since childhood, and execution is the first step in practice. Only with good execution can we summarize more personal experience and make better progress.


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.