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Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:5.22黄金多头冲高遇阻回落还会涨吗,黄金后市走势操作附解套

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消息面:中美贸易争端解决方案取得突破性进展令市场风险情绪大受鼓舞,这令金价承受着较大的下行压力。金价大跌之后,对冲基金等大型投机客减持gold多头头寸至两年多来最低水平。尽管如此,市场其他风险因素依然存在,为金价带来一定支撑。美国新任国务卿蓬佩奥周一向伊朗提出12条新要求,他称只有伊朗遵守12条新要求才有可能与美国达成新的协议,不然将面临史上最强硬的制裁。重点关注:本交易日来看,市场无重大数据公布,目前投资者正在等待本周的首枚“he 弹”——美联储会议纪要,将在北京时间周四02:00公布,在此之前整体人气维持谨慎。



COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time16:01The trading volume within one minute is5257Hand, the total value of the trading contract is close to7亿美元;黄金短线暴涨4美元,上探1296一线阻力位。今日黄金在亚盘回调盘整后,短线强势反弹8个点。其中,美元指数的回落是一方面的原因,中东局势的持续升温,欧债危机可能再现的窘境等因素使得避险情绪再次升温,在机构买盘的影响下,最终让黄金多头打了一波漂亮的翻身仗。值得注意的是,机构买盘的影响并没有让金价反弹突破前期的高点。说明影响力度仍旧有限,金价想重回千三关口,还需要更加强力的支撑。



黄金走势分析:技术面上,4小时线上的一波冲刺,使黄金脱离布林带中轨,开始向上轨冲击,短期均线5日均线,接连串过布林带中轨、10Daily moving average and30日均线。附图指标上,macd双线虽然还是处于0轴下方,但红能依然保持放量;sto双线处于超买区附近死叉走平。综合来看,4小时震荡偏强,如果上方彻底打开布林带上轨,有望进一步加强,去试探60Daily moving average1302附近去。所以需要重点留意上轨1295/96的压力。下方需要重点关注中轨支撑,目前短期10Daily and30日均线均处于此地,1290附近。如果再次获得下破,那么今天的走势有望继续演变为震荡。围绕1296-1283between.






小时线上,在连续收取三根阳柱,使金价重新站上布林带中轨,并进一步打开布林带上轨,目前继续徘徊于上轨附近,布林带中下轨受到这波上行,也保持向上延伸的趋势。短期均线指标,5日均线接连串过布林带中轨、10Daily moving average120均线紧跟上行步伐,附图指标上,macd双线处于0轴上方金叉运行,红能稍有放量;sto双线有转变为死叉的迹象,综合来看,小时线上较为偏强,但无法继续做到突破,可能会出现下滑,目前附图指标macdandsto均等着进一步走势。下方重点留意1290的短期支撑,如果下破,5日均线可能会再次拐头,走势可能会再次下行,下方还需要留意中轨1288的支撑,破位今天继续以震荡对待。






综合来看,短期技术指标均保持偏强走势运行,但目前遇到顶部压力1296,只有冲破才有可能进一步走强,如果不破,走势可能会再次回落,陷入震荡,我们都知道最近一段时间黄金始终缺乏延续性,所以这点我们需要重点关注。短线上方关注1296一线阻力,其次1302,1308-10Frontline; Follow Below1285-1288Frontline support.



crude oil走势分析:今日开盘急涨后,未能延续,在触及71.9后,缓慢回落,且已经跌回71.6一线。之前不断爆出利好消息的欧佩克,在美国制裁伊朗事件后,也有不同的声音产生,俄罗斯已经开始扩大产量,因此我们需要持续关注欧佩克的动向。技术面来看:日图布林带开口上行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉上行放缓,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA10Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈近粘合态向右走平,红色动能有所缩量,KDJ三线拐头朝下缩口行将交死叉,行情有一定的回落风险。虽然行情已经逼近上方趋势线压制,同时指标也出现超买以及顶部背离,但是行情依旧受到中东局势预期的影响而持续震荡走高,难以见常规的技术回修。四小时线图上:原油处于大区间的震荡上行中,低点和高点不断上移,MA60在下方一线形成坚实支撑,此前原油回调至71.00附近蓄力,一波上冲至72.65附近,而这波上冲止住之后,短期可以搏一波回调。综合来看,操作上玉琪论金建议回调做多为主,短线上方继续关注73One line of resistance, pay attention below72Frontline support.






Message:What we do belongs to venture capital,If risks are not properly controlled,Always losing money,Just blindly investing funds,That would lose the significance of investing!Investment relies not on luck,But rather accurately judge the market trend,Calm down and face the ups and downs of the market,Emotions never dance with gains or losses. The risk is not scary,What's scary is that,Let risk get out of control!You are still troubled by countless stop losses?Still feeling frustrated about going in the opposite direction when making a single order?Still running away hastily for a small profit?Please entrust professional matters to professionals,Endless profits come from cooperation!






Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00






Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team






writing/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)


  
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