Yan Yixin:5.18本周黄金原油如何收官？谨防黑天鹅事件，附解套！

交易是寂寞的，分析是孤独的，如果你既不孤独也不寂寞，注定你的交易难成大事。行成于思毁于随，交易最大的敌人不是市场，是内心中那个最真实的自己。震荡中，总想着趋势；趋势中，总想着震荡；做了怕，不做也怕；出了也顾忌，不出又忐忑。所谓心态，过就是和最真实的自己博弈。你若胜利，便是成功。回首过去，我们收获的是喜悦，沉淀的是睿智，感受的是金融市场的步步惊心，展望未来，我们充满自信，怀抱感恩，经历过风吹雨打必然让我们更加适应市场的跌宕起伏。

       goldMarket trend analysis:
  从全盘来看黄金跌破1300之后陷入窄幅震荡，随着时间的推移，震荡结构也在消耗大家的精力，眼看着美日日线不断连阳，黄金价格就是不动，市场在不断消耗参与者的耐心，不知不觉中很多人会瞎操作。而黄金昨日又一次陷入了震荡，虽然近期行情跌破了1302一线，但活跃度并未增加，总体上而言还是震荡行情，当然这两天的行情可以视之为修正的行情，行情修正过后必然会出现行情的，昨晚金价维持在1285-1294的区间震荡，最近两天的低点都维持在1285-1286，这说明日线图的趋势线支撑还是有效的，短线没有破位，所以今日严亿鑫不提倡全部去追空黄金，今日需要保持一部分反弹的思路，若行情跌破1285，那么我们就选择放弃看反弹，否则我们先看一波反弹，这两天都是十字星收盘，短线反抽可能性很大，只是我们需要足够的耐心去等待这波行情。今日来看，日线收盘双十字，单根十字的解读，由于昨日严亿鑫讲解过，这里就不在重复；对于双十字而言每日做单策略可单线严亿鑫，其实和单根并无较大的区别，只需要关注一点，那就是十字的顶端和低点是日内的分界点；明白这个定义之后，下面的操作也变得极其简单，当价格没有出现较大反抽之前，都需要是逢高空或者等空；短期只需是根据欧盘运行的位置，做相应的规划和布局即可。
  
  昨日盘中，黄金价格小幅回升测试1295阻力后遇阻走弱，回撤1285一线后回升，目前金价急促持于1290关口附近震荡运行，黄金短期有延续震荡调整的迹象，不过整体上黄金仍然维持弱势下行；4At the hourly level,BOLL带三轨大开口朝下运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉继续朝下运行，KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线呈死叉继续下行绿色动能表现充足，KDJ三线拐头朝下缩口行将交死叉下行，金价短线亿鑫预计还有进一步下行势能，昨日的高点1296将成为小阶段阻力，所以今日我们继续反弹看空黄金！综合来看，目前黄金虽空头占优，但后市是有反弹征兆的，所以在操作上亿鑫建议先看反弹，反弹不破阻力我们仍然高空即可。

  Golden Operation Strategy:
  1Rebound1293Near empty, stop loss1297, Objective1288-1285, take a break to see1280
  2、激进反弹1291Near empty, stop loss1295, Objective1285First line, break through to see1280
  3、下方初见1280-1282附近多一次，止损4US dollars, target see1286upper.

　　crude oilMarket analysis:
      原油近期的行情，可谓是饱受关注，多头之强势，不言而喻，多次的回踩下跌，均被多头反手收复，最后均能再次站上高位，就目前的格局来看，原油的多头还将持续，在晚间的一波行情中，也是再次突破了新高，站到了72上方，就目前原油短线趋势指标来看，原油小时图主图显示，目前K线是运行在布林带上轨下方的，布林带张口是呈逐渐收缩状运行的，显示有回踩需求，在观附图指标KDJ三线，目前也是呈死叉向下运行的，而MACD双线则持续金叉运行，但红色动能组是有所缩量的，所以综合来看原油破新高的目的已然达到，那么在今日走势中，这种涨势之后，是必然有回踩的行情在里面的，所以在今日原油的操作上严亿鑫个人建议回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅即可。上方重点关注72.0-72.2One line of resistance, pay attention below71.2-71.0一线支撑。自信源于实力，人格成就魅力。添加笔者每日行情分析、解套策略、中长线布局指导尽在其中，欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝长谈！


Crude oil operation strategy:
1Above72.2Short nearby, stop loss72.6Goal71.6-71.4、破位看71、
2Radical72附近做空、止损72.4Goal71.5.破位持有、
3、下放71.2-71附近做多、止损70.6.target71.8.破位持有

多空单怎么解套
      1Long term unwinding. Investors who have identified a major trend (such as a bullish market) and placed their orders in a minor trend (a downward trend in the market) can first stop losing and then enter at a lower price to earn a price difference. This can also earn profits from the major trend and reduce the risk of short positions caused by the minor trend.


      2Short term unlocking. If investors make a complete mistake in their judgment of the market, they should decisively close their positions to avoid further unilateral price fluctuations and suffering greater losses.The longer short-term investors hold in a unilateral market, the greater the losses they will incur


.     3Light position unwinding (also applicable to investors with large funds). That is, as the decline in the price increases, it increases the buying price and uses idle funds to lower costs, waiting for the price to rebound. Its advantage is that no matter how deep it is nested, as long as it is operated properly, it can be unlocked once there is a rebound.


      4, band unpacking. This method is suitable for various market stages of hedging, especially for volatile markets, mainly relying on the fluctuation of stock prices and utilizing the fluctuation price difference to unwind. The concept of this method is to buy low and sell high, sell high and buy low, gradually reducing costs and reducing losses. Its advantage lies in the variety of operating techniques, which are not limited to a single pattern, actively attacking, and if operated properly, the release speed is fast. The disadvantage lies in the high demand for personal time, energy, and ability, frequent operation with certain cost pressure, and improper operation can easily cause greater losses. We need professional knowledge and guidance with time, energy, and skills.


严亿鑫（官方微信：mengxian909 Official account:yyx15656）擅长运用波浪理论、K线、布林带、MACD对行情分析预测。对各技术指标熟练运用，从而形成了一套自己独特的风险控制系统和交易系统。如果你需要心态指导，投资计划，对原油，黄金等贵金属投资感兴趣而却无从下手，或已经在接触却不理想的朋友，想跟上稳健行情布局的，欢迎关注“严亿鑫”。