Yan Yixin:5.14黄金原油走势依旧看涨？晚间操作建议已给出。

金价终于止住此前连跌3周的势头。随着特朗普宣布美国退出伊核协议，以及中东战乱再起，地缘政治危机再度吸引全球目光，然而，种种迹象表明，市场对此并不太“恐慌”，避险情绪不涨反落，美元超买回落可能才是gold逆袭的主要诱因。
　　
　　投资者开始把眼光重新聚焦于地缘政治风险，以色列忽然发动了对叙利亚的空袭，而特朗普也即将和金正恩进行会面。不过分析认为，上周黄金的反弹主要是由于美元回调引发黄金空头回补，避险情绪并没有对金价构成多大支撑，当前的中东乱局并不足以让市场感到担忧，除非中东局势进一步恶化，才可能为黄金提供更多的上行动能，否则黄金的涨势能持续多久，可能仍将取决于美元的回调能持续多久。
  
    Technical analysis of gold:
    在上周尾黄金一度表现亮眼的前提下，再次后劲不足，周线自上周低位小阴十字K之后，再度报收小阳十字K，并且收盘于日线级别的开跌口1321阻力之下，受制于短期均线系统压制，这基本给本周的走势带来了一定的迷雾，本周黄金多头想要发力，1326这是一道坎，个人认为这是前面强调的点，而周初的走势就很关键。4小时图上看，上周五金价高位回落后，收于1318美元附近，处于前期1315-20区域的强力阻力区，上周四突破支撑，阻力转化为支撑，短期回落预计还将继续测试确认支撑，故本周一黄金继续回落的支撑位置看到1315。综合来看，本周美元指数自93高位逐渐承压回落，黄金顺势吹响反攻号角。加之美国诸多经济数据表现不佳，黄金走出V型反弹走势。黄金周线收盘上涨0.31%Report1309dollar/盎司，最高冲击1326美元，最低下探1304美元，结束了连跌三周走势。对于本周的走势来看，结合美经济数据的表现不佳及市场美伊间的紧张局势将为金价提供支撑，黄金守住千三关口还是会向上进攻。综合来看，今日操作思路上严亿鑫个人建议还是要以低多布局为主，上方重点关注1326One line of resistance, pay attention below1317Frontline support.

Suggestions for evening gold operations:
    建议黄金1317一线附近轻仓做多，止损4美金。目标1326frontline.
    建议黄金1325一线附近轻仓做空，止损4USD, target1320frontline.


  　crude oilTechnical analysis:
　　原油最高触及71.89，再次走出新高，随后有所回修，日线收得小阳十字星；目前原油日线结构上虽然超买，但是当前影响原油走势的主要是市场出于对基本面的担忧。自美国退出伊核协议后，市场担忧中东局势随时出现危机，可能会进一步引爆油价的上涨，有此情绪作为支撑，原油短期内出现大回调也是比较难的；四小时图来看，原油上周新高回调后，下方刚好触及MA20上涨，同时70.80也是前期波峰位置，提供双重支撑；综合来看，晚间操作思路上严亿鑫个人建议还是以低多为主，上方重点关注71.5One line of resistance, pay attention below70.2Frontline support.

晚间原油操作建议：
建议原油71一线附近轻仓做空，止损4USD, target70.5frontline.
建议原油70.5Long on the front line, stop loss4USD, target71.5frontline.


多空单怎么解套
      1Long term unwinding. Investors who have identified a major trend (such as a bullish market) and placed their orders in a minor trend (a downward trend in the market) can first stop losing and then enter at a lower price to earn a price difference. This can also earn profits from the major trend and reduce the risk of short positions caused by the minor trend.
      2Short term unlocking. If investors make a complete mistake in their judgment of the market, they should decisively close their positions to avoid further unilateral price fluctuations and suffering greater losses.The longer short-term investors hold in a unilateral market, the greater the losses they will incur


.    3Light position unwinding (also applicable to investors with large funds). That is, as the decline in the price increases, it increases the buying price and uses idle funds to lower costs, waiting for the price to rebound. Its advantage is that no matter how deep it is nested, as long as it is operated properly, it can be unlocked once there is a rebound.


      4, band unpacking. This method is suitable for various market stages of hedging, especially for volatile markets, mainly relying on the fluctuation of stock prices and utilizing the fluctuation price difference to unwind. The concept of this method is to buy low and sell high, sell high and buy low, gradually reducing costs and reducing losses. Its advantage lies in the variety of operating techniques, which are not limited to a single pattern, actively attacking, and if operated properly, the release speed is fast. The disadvantage lies in the high demand for personal time, energy, and ability, frequent operation with certain cost pressure, and improper operation can easily cause greater losses. We need professional knowledge and guidance with time, energy, and skills.


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