邱伊凡5.3美联储维持利率不变 美元继续保持强势走势

在周三的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈小幅回调后继续上涨的走势，美元指数最高上涨到92.83，最低下跌到92.22, closing at92.51。欧美最高上涨到1.2032，最低下跌到1.1939, closing at1.1988。

　　备受关注的美联储3月决议如期揭开帷幕。美联储一如市场预期维持利率不变，但决议鹰派程度不及市场预期强硬。决议公布之后，美元短线急跌，不过日内依然维持上涨。据CME“美联储观察”，美联储决议公布之后，美联储今年6Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to1.5%-1.75%区间的概率为由94.3%Ascend to95.3%，9月至该区间概率由22.7%Ascend to22.9%。


　　此前美联储暗示，通胀可能会超过2%的政策目标，引发投资者担心即使美联储进一步加息，但货币政策将保持宽松。美元近几周受到提振，因预期美联储将继续加息，而包括欧洲央行在内的其它央行预料需要更长的时间才会将货币政策正常化。目前投资者聚焦在周五将出炉的美国4月就业报告，以寻找显示经济强度和通胀压力的进一步线索。

　　从技术上来看，美指周三回调企稳在92.20之上，上涨受阻在92.85之下，收盘在92.51，意味着美元短线回调后有可能保持上涨的走势。如果美指今天回调在92.50—92.55之上受到支持，后市上涨目标将会指向92.85—93.10。汇价只有跌破92.00的支持，短线才有可能由强转弱。汇价只有站稳在93.00之上，上涨的目标将有望延续到93.50—94.20. Today, the short-term resistance of the US Index is92.80—92.85Short term important resistance93.10—93.15. Today, the short-term support of the US Index is on92.50—92.55Short term important support in92.20—92.25。欧美周三反弹受阻在1.2030之下，下跌在1.1940之上受到支持，收盘在1.1988，意味着欧美短线反弹后有可能保持下跌的走势。如果欧美今天反弹在1.1985—1.1990If there is resistance below, the target for future decline will be directed towards1.1940--1.1895。汇价只有突破1.2060的阻力，短线才有可能由弱转强。汇价只有跌破1.1900的支持，下跌的目标将有望指向1.1800—1.1750. Today, short-term resistance in Europe and America is1.1985—1.1990Short term important resistance1.2030—1.2035. Today, short-term support in Europe and America1.1940—1.1945Short term important support in1.1895—1.1900。

The US dollar is mainly trading long on dips in the short term today, breaking levels to stop losses and making profits30Set a stop win for orders with more than one point, and withdraw all outstanding orders before the US market opens. This strategy is suitable for margin trading and a firm offer can be used as a reference.

US dollar index: can be found in93.10—92.50Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.

Euro/USD: can be used in1.1990---1.1900的区间上限卖出，有效破点40止损，目标在区间的下限。

GBP/USD: can be used in1.3630---1.3530Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.

USD/Ruilang: You can find1.0030---0.9960Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.

USD/Japanese yen: can be used in110.20---109.60Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.

AUD/USD: can be used in0.7540---0.7470Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit35Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.

USD/CAD: Can be used in1.2925---1.2845Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.

　　gold: Can be found in the1314.00---1300.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.

　　白银：可以在16.60---16.20Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15美元止损，目标在区间的上限。