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5.3黄金支撑阻力所在,日内建议高空为主

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虽然昨天日内金价一度回到1310dollar/盎司上方水平,但昨天受到“小非农”ADP数据向好的影响,gold回吐涨势,金价在凌晨两点的利率决议先是再度上升到1310上方,一度来到1313一线,随后高位承压行情转而回落,至此午夜黄金反弹仅是昙花一现。好在金价再一次在1303一线获得支撑。最后来看1小时级别,小时图上行情在回落到1303附近受到一股明显的支撑力随后再度反弹,说明1303这个位置是目前的短线支撑位所在,那么今日早间操作思路上金旭点金建议围绕下方低点支撑反弹做多即可,多单上方短线关注1310-1313One line of resistance, pay attention below1300-1303一线支撑,上方破位继续向上看1315。

crude oilanalysis:

短周期打破了以58为低点的上升通道的压制后却在以55为低点的上升通道中受阻,持续的箱体震荡目前并没有结束!以大周期阶段性低点26为低点的上升趋势依然完整,上升通道阻力看到73区域,所以大周期看涨的思路未变!短线69.4and67.1的箱体仍在运行,但破位也将随时产生,上方一旦打破69.4的压制,多头将像一匹脱缰的野马!而下方66.5的多头防守仍是重点!昨日凌晨盘中刺破了连续4次测试67.1支撑,虽然最终收盘在67.1之上但日线报收阴线,所以短线金旭点金认为进一步回撤66.5的概率较大,一方面为了测试支撑有效性,另一方面也是为了洗盘已经入场的多单!所以今日保持反弹随后回撤看66.5支撑的思路对待!上方反弹阻力短线关注67.8-68。
  
  目前技术面来看,日图布林带开口向外可做且布林下轨强势下攻,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉继续下攻,K线收在布林下轨一线,MACDThe fast and slow lines form a dead cross and continue to decline. The green kinetic energy continues to increase,KDJ三线呈死叉继续下行,行情呈现明显空头趋势;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands open downward,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈粘合态朝下运行,K线收在布林中下轨间MA5Below the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方呈粘合态向右走平指标呈中性,KDJ三线拐头朝下缩口初交合行将呈死叉下行,金价短线还有进一步下行势能。

综合来看,昨日亚盘初期金价小幅走高,高点触及1312附近后逐步回落,美盘较晚时候及周四零轴两点美联储如期公布美国至5month2Japanese Federal Reserve Rate Decision(upper limit),数据表现持稳但不如预期鹰派,小幅短线冲高上方触及1313一线。但金旭以为,本次利率决议不如预期鹰派但是目前美国经济表现整体向好的形态,美元表现强势且市场风险事件有缓解趋势,多数因素都对黄金施压。整体还是看好金价的回落下行,昨晚1312一线布局空单,尾盘行情终是如期回落,数据后的涨幅空单小获7美金出局。目前行情整体还是表现一个弱势形态,日内操作上来看金旭建议以反弹高空为主,低多为辅。上方关注1314One line of resistance, pay attention below1300Frontline support.
  
Spot gold trading at single point:
  
  1Step back for the first time1302-1303Long on the front line, stop loss3Points, target1310-1312
  
  2, rebound1310-1312Short selling, stop loss3Points, target1300-1298
  
国际原油:
  
  日线上来看国际原油再试探70美元关口受阻之后开始出现小幅度回调,本周两度回踩66.8一线低位,目前盘整于67.5AboveMA5,10走平压制油价进一步反弹,附图sto高位死叉向下,操作上关注68Resistance, lower support67.

  国际原油部分做单点位:
  
  1, step back67-66.8Long on the front line, stop loss0.3, Objective68-68.2
  
Today's follow:
  
  16:30 britain4Monthly service industryPMI
  
  17:00 eurozone3monthPPIMonthly rate, Eurozone4monthCPIAnnual rate initial value
  
  19:30 U.S.A4Monthly Challenger Enterprise layoffs
  
  20:30 From the United States to4month28Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States3Monthly trade account
  
  21:45 U.S.A4monthMarkitService industryPMIFinal value
  
  22:00 U.S.A4monthISMNon manufacturingPMI, USA3Monthly factory order rate
  
  22:30 From the United States to4month27Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory
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