Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:4.26黄金弱势反弹重回区间整理，原油今日走势操作建议附解套

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The most tiring thing is often not the distance of the road, but the depression in the heart. The most decadent thing is often not the loss of long and short positions, but the loss of confidence. Sometimes it is not the misfortune of ups and downs, but the shattering of hope. Sometimes it is not the despair of right and wrong, but the death of faith. Some things are lost, which is more unforgettable than having them. Some market trends enter, which is more agonizing than watching. The market is never wrong, and what is wrong is only different perspectives.

消息面：昨日周三现货gold停止反弹转跌，触及四周低点，美市盘中最低下探至1318.51dollar/盎司，在巨量卖盘的抛压下，黄金一度跌破1320美元关口；美元周二则强劲反弹，美元指数最高触及91.25的高位，冲击三个半月的高点。昨日内无重大数据公布，但美债收益率继续飙升，美国10年期国债周二上涨超3.0%，是四年来的最高水平。同时地缘政治局势缓也为黄金的下跌提供了一定的助力。周三crude oil价格小幅下滑，在68dollar/桶下方交易。油市受到近期强劲的世界经济增长预期的支撑，也受到美国将重新就伊朗核协议进行谈判的刺激，如果美国对伊朗重新制裁，这将减少伊朗在世界市场出售石油的能力。




美元指数和美国国债的走强似乎预示着离美联储今年再次加息已经不远，目前市场对美联储接下来的加息路径显得极为有信心，甚至已经开始预测美联储在2018年将一共加息4次，而不是货币政策决策者所暗示的3次，导致市场对美联储6月份加息的预期越来越大，美联储加息预期的上升也推动债券收益率上涨，这将会刺激美元指数上涨，进而打压黄金的表现。

黄金日内走势分析：从日线上看，经过之前的一波拉升，原本过低的技术面得到了有效的修复，小周期技术级别虽然看似形成强有力的多头吞没，但是黄金上方1335一线是关键性阻力位，只要1335一线没有被攻破，玉琪论金预计今天慢涨再次向下的可能性会比较大。从4From an hourly perspective,4小时线级别中不难看出来，走出一个头肩顶的形态。在近期的走势中，不断的突破支撑点，成为了近期的一个特点。自金价两次冲高1355一线后开始回落，按照均线的理论K线持续的下滑，受到中长期均线支撑后将继续下跌，那么表明多头放弃的概率极大，而近期金价穿过中长期均线后拉出的大阴线则说明空头较为强势。玉琪论金综合来看，昨日美元大幅升值，美国利率走高以及地缘政治局势缓和推动黄金下跌，日线录得一根中阴线，行情表现一定的空势。今日操作上玉琪论金建议以反弹高空为主。上方关注1328One line of resistance, pay attention below1318-1316一线支撑。自信源于实力，人格成就魅力。添加笔者玉琪论金WeiXinNumber（zyq1970622）每日行情分析、解套策略、中长线布局指导尽在其中，欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝长谈！

原油日内走势分析：原油方面，昨日亚盘开盘在67.72横盘整理欧盘尚未能突破68.1阻力位置转而美盘前连阴下跌最低可见67.32的位置，周初行情下探回升，周二反弹不破前高，美盘承压持续弱势下跌，日线再度转阴报收。近期行情比较反复，前面强势上涨破位66.6阻力后，多头似乎延续性比较差，每次上涨后都伴随着回调修正，之后再蓄势破位，上涨没有连贯性。而对于这种走势操作上确实不好把握，看强非强，似弱非弱，所以切勿追涨杀跌。当前仍处于上升趋势中，前下方支撑在67附近，周初下探67.1附近回升，已经再次确认支撑，日线整理从中轨跌至中轨留较长上引线围绕5Daily moving average10日均线的位置,Attached indicatorsMACD双线有拐头向下的迹象，4小时双顶出现M形态测试67防守位置也是很关键的一个心理位置，若今日跌破则看向66.0-65.0,Attached indicatorsMACD双线依旧高位死叉绿色动能柱持续放量结合小时图圆弧顶形态确认还要再次确认67.1的支撑位置，依托67.0做多即可。今日操作上玉琪论金建议低多为主，高空为辅，短线上方关注68.5一线压力，下方重点关注67.0一线支撑。具体的解套或者实时指导策略可以关注功肿/Hao "Yuqi discusses the acquisition of gold"!




黄金多单如何解套：1330-1340附近被套的多单，你们的点位套的不是很多，还是有机会解出来的，重要的是看你们能否顺应行情来操作，抓住每一波顺势，可在低位进行补仓多单，然后反弹高位出局再反手做空，静待盈利出局。




Message:What we do belongs to venture capital,If risks are not properly controlled,Always losing money,Just blindly investing funds,That would lose the significance of investing!Investment relies not on luck,But rather accurately judge the market trend,Calm down and face the ups and downs of the market,Emotions never dance with gains or losses. The risk is not scary,What's scary is that,Let risk get out of control!You are still troubled by countless stop losses?Still feeling frustrated about going in the opposite direction when making a single order?Still running away hastily for a small profit?Please entrust professional matters to professionals,Endless profits come from cooperation!




Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00




Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team




writing/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)