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Market Review
在周一的foreign exchange市场上,美元继续呈强势上涨的走势,美元指数最高上涨到90.99,最低下跌到90.32, closing at90.95。欧美最高上涨到1.2290,最低下跌到1.2198, closing at1.2205。
美元周一升至七周高位90.99Previously, the United States10年期国债收益率上升,逼近3%重要心理水准,促使投资者买入美元,令欧元和日元大幅走低。随着美国政治不确定性和地缘政治紧张局势时而导致利率和货币表现之间的关系破裂,2018年美国债券收益率的上升并没有一直促使美元走高。但随着10年期美国国债收益率直逼3%,美国和德国国债收益率差达到29年高点,美元兑一篮子货币获得全面买盘。
美元上涨,也反映了贸易前景改善。美国财长努钦上周六表示,他可能访问中国,此举可能缓解全球两大经济体之间的紧张关系。欧元兑美元在2月前一路上涨,但到2月陷入区间内,因欧洲央行对预计其将早于预期升息的投资者发出警告。欧洲央行将在本周四举行货币政策会议,届时看欧洲央行对欧元的利率前景如何展望了。
从技术上来看,美指周一回调在90.30之上受到braceBreakthrough90.60的阻力,但上涨受阻在91.00之下,收盘在90.95,意味着美元短线有可能回调后保持上涨的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in91.20—90.70Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.2240---1.2170的区间上限卖出,有效破点35止损,目标在区间的下限。
GBP/USD: can be used in1.4000---1.3900Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.9810---0.9760Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in109.10---108.30Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit35Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.7640---0.7570Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.2890---1.2820Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit35Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range. gold: Can be found in the1328.00---1319.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银:可以在16.80---16.40Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 09:30 Australia Q1CPIthe annual rate
② 14:00 Switzerland3Monthly trade account
③ 16:00 Germany4monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index
④ 18:00 britain4monthCBIIndustrial order difference
⑤ 21:00 U.S.A2monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index, United States2monthS&/CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
⑥ 22:00 U.S.A3月新屋销售总数年化、4月谘商会消费者信心指数、4Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
⑦ The next day02:00 英国央行行长卡尼在伦敦职业经济学家协会年度晚宴上发表演讲
⑧ The next day04:30 From the United States to4month20Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock