NFX 品汇国际：美元短线反弹上方阻力仍重重

Market Review
　　在上周五的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈大幅上涨的走势，美元指数最高上涨到90.48,最低下跌到89.84, closing at90.31。欧美最高上涨到1.2353，最低下跌到1.2250, closing at1.2283。
　　英国央行行长卡尼的鸽派言论影响仍在发酵，英镑延续昨日跌势，美元则趁机上涨，同时美债收益率上升，以及美联储官员讲话也进一步增加了美元的上行动能。目前美联储官员已经暗示今年会进一步加息，而欧洲央行和英国央行的加息态度则不太坚定，这令收益率差进一步拓宽，从而增加了美元资产的吸引力。
　　旧金山联储主席威廉姆斯发表谈话称在经济强劲的背景下，美联储将在未来几年持续渐进加息。不过市场普遍预计欧洲央行将在下周会议上暗示政策不会发生变化，这令投资者开始削减欧元的看多押注，欧元/美元承压跌至两周低位。
　　欧洲央行行长德拉基上周五发表讲话称，欧元区经济大幅扩张，但需要强劲的全球增长和开放贸易才能持续。不过，市场怀疑欧洲央行是否会在下周会议上暗示进一步改变政策。
从技术上来看,美指上周五回调在89.80之上受到braceBreakthrough90.00的阻力，但上涨受阻在90.50之下，收盘在90.31,意味着美元短线有可能回调后保持上涨的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in90.60—90.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.2320---1.2240的区间上限卖出，有效破点40止损，目标在区间的下限。
GBP/USD: can be used in1.4060---1.3980Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.9770---0.9720Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in107.85---107.35Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.7700---0.7640Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.2800---1.2700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1339.00---1327.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银：可以在17.20---16.90Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
①14:30 银保监会召开记者会，谈论非法集资活动和监管新规
②15:00 France4Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
③15:30 Germany4Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
④16:00 eurozone4Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
⑤20:30 Canada2Monthly wholesale sales rate
⑥21:45 U.S.A4monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIinitial value
⑦21:45 U.S.A4monthMarkitService industryPMIinitial value
⑧22:00 U.S.A3Annualized total monthly housing sales
⑨次日03:30 加拿大央行行长波洛兹及高级副行长威尔金斯参加众议院常设金融委员会
⑩次日05:00 美国国会参议院外交委员会就美国候任国务卿蓬佩奥的提名进行投票