NFX 品汇国际：加拿大维持利率不变加元转弱美元受累

Market Review
　　在周三的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈反弹遇阻后回落整理的走势，美元指数最高上涨到89.78,最低下跌到89.44, closing at89.62。欧美最高上涨到1.2397，最低下跌到1.2343, closing at1.2377。
　　世界贸易组织日前公布的一份文件显示，美国近日对世贸组织表示，愿与中方就美国进口钢铝产品232措施和美对华301调查项下的征税建议在世贸组织争端解决机制下展开磋商。美方此举是遵循世贸组织解决贸易争端的常规程序。彭博社评论称，尽管特朗普政府立场强硬，但此文件标志着中美贸易之争或能通过谈判解决。受此影响美元指数开始反弹。
　　同时经济持续增长也进一步提高美联储的加息预期。最新发布的美联储褐皮书周三显示，3Month to4月初美国经济以温和至适度的速度增长。美债收益率的提升帮助美元温和上涨。美国和德国两年期收益率差扩至300个基点，为近30年来的最阔水平，增加了持有美元而不是欧元的吸引力。但美元仍处于看跌通道上，因预期美国贸易逆差和联邦赤字将在未来几个季度膨胀。
　　周三公布的官方数据显示，英国3Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Increase compared to the same period last year2.5%，低于市场预估的上升2.7%；2The monthly increase is2.7%。市场目前已经消化的英国央行5月升息概率高达80%，提振英镑本月大涨，但上行空间已经不大。此前加拿大央行一如预期维持关键利率不变，但政策声明的基调没有部分交易员预期的那么鹰派，这令加元走软。
从技术上来看,美指周三反弹受阻在89.80之下，回调在89.40之上受到brace, closing at89.62,意味着美元短线有可能回调后保持反弹的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in89.95—89.45Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.2400---1.2320的区间上限卖出，有效破点35止损，目标在区间的下限。
GBP/USD: can be used in1.4250---1.4090Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.9725---0.9655Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in107.65---107.05Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.7810---0.7750Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.2680---1.2590Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1360.00---1343.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损，目标在区间的上限。
　　白银：可以在17.40---17.05Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15美元止损，目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 09:30 Australia3Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
② 16:00 eurozone2Monthly adjusted current account
③ 16:30 britain3Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment
④ 20:00 FOMC永久票委、美联储理事布雷纳德发表讲话
⑤ 20:30 From the United States to4month14Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States4Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index
⑥ 21:30 FOMC永久票委、美联储理事夸尔斯在参议院金融委员会作证词
⑦ 22:00 U.S.A3Monthly consultation chamber leading indicator monthly rate
⑧ 22:30 From the United States to4month13Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory
⑨ undetermined 英国央行行长卡尼参加IMF会议，至4month22day
10 undetermined 欧洲央行行长德拉基及执委科尔参加世界银行及IMF春季会议
⑪ The next day06:45 2018yearFOMC票委梅斯特就经济前景和货币政策发表讲话
⑫ 次日待定 欧佩克联合部长级监督委员会举行会议