严亿鑫：美联储会议偏鹰派助美元 ，原油强势破年内新高，如何操作？

白宫政治风险提振金价
  另一方面，白宫政治紧张加剧了投资者对gold的看涨前景。对于美国总统将解雇特别顾问罗伯特·米勒或副司法部长罗德·罗森斯坦一事市场再次表示担忧，这也给那些被视为风险和支持避风港的资产施加了压力。目前所有人都在关注地缘政治的紧张局势，不仅因为市场已经大体上达到平衡，而是因为地缘政治局势影响了很多方面。然而，在美联储3月会议结束后不久，金价跌至1347.50美元附近，随后再度受到支撑。

  FED会议纪要偏鹰助推美元回升
  Federal Reserve3月会议纪要传达了偏鹰派的立场，助美元回升，金价则回吐部分涨幅。会议纪要强调了更多利率上调的观点，更高的利率可以提振美元和对以美元计价的大宗商品的需求。会议纪要显示，多位美联储官员认为经济前景支持更陡峭的加息路径，一些美联储委员讨论了转变宽松货币政策立场的问题。这被市场解读为美联储自2008年金融危机以来，首次讨论了经济刹车的必要性。报告显示，美国3Monthly Consumer Price Index(cpi)Month-on-month decline0.1%This is10个月来首次出现下跌。而随着通货膨胀继续攀升，美国人几乎为其他一切买单。美国潜在通胀水平在一年内升至最高水平，核心CPI的上升将有助于强化政策制定者的观点。其偏好的通胀指标正逐渐接近2%的目标。此外，美国股市普遍走低，这有助于在常规交易时段提高黄金投资需求。

Gold trend analysis:
　　黄金日线收长上影阳线，昨日早盘小幅回撤后震荡，欧盘走强，美盘延续多头趋势，因为避险走势，黄金走的很极端，上涨不回调，凌晨美联储的消息修正，黄金受压1370Going up and down, closing at1356Nearby. from4From an hourly perspective,KThe line is currently running alongMA5Continuous upward trend, on indicatorsKDJThere are signs of turning around, and the trend of extreme high volatility remains,MACDThe slow line on the upper fast line continues to rise, and the kinetic energy red column shows a new peak before declining. In the early trading session1354It's pressure. If you want to be short, you can be light and short, and a weak decline,1348You can hold on for a while, and the rebound will be based on the second highest point1359A weak decline will continue to lead to a downward trend1342Short selling nearby, overall still in place1370-1342High altitude and low altitude within the range, beautiful gold1364-1346区间内高空低多。
  Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  Fallback1345Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss1342, Objective1552upper
  rebound1356附近受阻做空，止损1360, Objective1348nearby
　   策略仅供参考，具体的进场点位更多操作建议严亿鑫会根据实盘变化给出。

crude oilTrend analysis:
　　原油日线连拉三根大阳线，自周一62The upper part was once bullish, currently at its highest point67.4On the first line, and breaking through new highs in recent years, it also opened up room for growth. Yesterday, the Asian market was under pressure65.8retracement 65.1European market strengthens, US market continues, eveningEIAData is bearish, but after a slight pullback, it quickly reverses and breaks through67, highest touch67.45。 from4From an hourly perspective,kLine running onMA5，MA10Above the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located below the zero axis, with a strong upward attack from the cross, and the red kinetic energy gradually increasing,KDJThe third line is running with a high dead fork and diverging downward. There is an adjustment in the oil price in the short term. It is recommended to focus on a pullback and make a long move, with high-altitude assistance and upper level attention67.4One line of resistance, pay attention below65.8Frontline support.
        Suggestions for crude oil operation:
        Suggest callback66.6-66.4一线附近多单进场，止损5USD, target67.5frontline.


　　策略仅供参考，具体的进场点位更多操作建议严亿鑫会根据实盘变化给出。
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