Murong Xin:4.11Is Trump planning to take action against Syria? Gold.The crude oil market is set to experience turbulence

Murong Xin:4.11Is Trump planning to take action against Syria?gold.crude oilThe market will be surging with wind and clouds


　Message surface:
       Tuesday(4month10day)At the Boao Forum for Asia, the Chinese President advocated for global integration and claimed that China will further open up to the outside world. Affected by this, the trade war tensions have significantly cooled down, global stock markets have generally surged, and risk appetite has rebounded. But the gold price still recorded an increase, mainly due to the possibility of military strikes by the United States against the Syrian government over the use of chemical weapons. This potential war risk has prevented a significant decline in market risk aversion. In addition, this geopolitical situation has also driven up oil prices.


　　下一步，投资者需关注于周三出炉的美国3monthCPIData and the Federal Reserve3Monthly meeting minutes. Given that the United States3monthPPIThe performance exceeded expectations, reflecting that US inflation is on an upward trajectory. But with no significant increase in salary levels and inflation, the possibility of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates four times is not high. The triple bearish trend of the US dollar also represents to some extent that the market generally has low expectations for this. Finally, the speech by European Central Bank President Draghi is also worth investors' attention.

　　Gold trend analysis:
　　黄金价格周初两天持续上涨终是到达1340Gate position; Gold is expected to continue to rise in the short term; Fundamentally speaking, although the current trade war between China and the United States has eased and China emphasizes further opening up to the outside world, the geopolitical turmoil and the expansion of the US fiscal deficit are supporting gold. From the technical daily chart, it can be seen that the gold price has stabilized at the support of the Bollinger Bands and continues to rise. Currently, it has beenKThe line runs above the moving average system,5Rihe10The daily moving average continues to rise to support gold prices, with short-term support being closely monitored5Daily moving average1338-1340Near the US dollar; The daily chart shows that the gold trend continues to rise; In the short term, the gold price is currently running towards the early stage1357-48Near the trend line of the high point line, there is a certain resistance that needs to be broken through in the short term, so in the short term1345-42There is a demand for oscillation adjustment near the position, but once it stabilizes and breaks through the resistance, the market is expected to continue to rise. The target above is the high point touched in the early stage1348-1350frontline; Based on the bullish trend of hourly level technical indicators, the short-term trend of gold is expected to fluctuate upwards. Therefore, for evening operations, Murong Xin personally recommends falling and going long.


　　Analysis of crude oil trend:
　　目前技术面来看，昨日原油表现继续强势日线再收一大阳，油价持续突破64、65Integer level, high point reached65.85dollar/Bucket, the bullish trend is showing strong performance. On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands open upwards,MA5The moving average is showing a dead cross and turning upwards, with a desire to have a correlationMA10The trend of the moving average crossing the golden cross,KThe line closes between the upper and middle Bollinger Bands,MACDThe fast and slow lines will intersect with the golden cross, and the green momentum will gradually decrease,KDJThe strong upward divergence of the three line golden cross indicates a clear bullish trend in the market;4On the hourly chart, the opening of the Bollinger Bands rises upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average is showing a strong upward trend with a golden cross,KThe line closes above the upper Bollinger Bands,MACDThe fast slow line forms a golden cross and continues to rise. The red momentum gradually increases significantly,KDJThe three lines form a golden cross and gradually level to the right, indicating that the short-term bullish trend in oil prices continues to have some upward momentum. Overall, the continued tension in the Middle East and Saudi Arabia's positive comments on crude oil have led to a sharp rise in oil prices. At the same time, the risk of a trade war between China and the United States has also provided support for oil bulls, resulting in an overall strong bullish performance in the crude oil market. From the perspective of intraday operations, the author Murong Xin suggests that the main strategy is to go long after falling to the low level, with high levels as a supplement. Follow above66Integer barrier resistance, pay attention below65Integer level support.

　　

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